Friday, 30/10/2026 at 20:45
26d 19h to kick-offSV Zulte Waregem – Club Brugge KV
Model updated 4 October, 00:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- SV Zulte Waregem
- 34%
- Draw
- 28%
- Club Brugge KV
- 38%
| SV Zulte Waregem | Draw | Club Brugge KV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.94 | 3.63 | 2.60 |
- Total goals
- 3.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Both teams to score
- 69%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model can't separate them
38% Club Brugge KV to win
- Attack
- 1st vs 6th
- Club Brugge KV attack v SV Zulte Waregem defence
- Defence
- 8th vs 9th
- Club Brugge KV defence v SV Zulte Waregem attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.62 vs -0.05
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.54 – 1.64
- SV Zulte Waregem v Club Brugge KV
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | SV Zulte Waregem | Club Brugge KV |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.26 · 12th | (better) 2.16 · 1st |
| xGA / match | 1.31 · 7th | (better) 1.20 · 6th |
| xGD / match | -0.05 · 9th | (better) +0.96 · 2nd |
| xPts / match | 1.34 · 9th | (better) 1.90 · 3rd |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.05 | (better) +0.62 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 32% of the model's distribution.
- Club Brugge KV clean sheet
- 19%
- Club Brugge KV 2+ goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- Both teams to score: no
- 31%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 12.6%
- 1:2
- 9.8%
- 2:1
- 9.2%
Check your bookmaker's price
Enter a bookmaker's price to compare it with the model's fair odds.
How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
Show
Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- SV Zulte Waregem sample
- 20 matches
- Club Brugge KV sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · SV Zulte Waregem
- 3 matches
- Away xG sample · Club Brugge KV
- 3 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 00:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.