xgEdge

Expected goals

Real Sociedad expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

La Liga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Real Sociedad's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Real Sociedad xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.19 xG per match
#14/20
Attack (xG per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Barcelona 4.07
#2 Real Madrid 2.64
#3 Villarreal 2.38
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.72
#5 Athletic Club 1.64
#6 Real Betis 1.52
#7 Racing de Santander 1.45
#8 Levante UD 1.33
#9 Deportivo Alavés 1.28
#10 Rayo Vallecano 1.27
#11 Espanyol 1.24
#12 Osasuna 1.24
#13 Elche 1.24
#14 Real Sociedad 1.19
#15 Celta Vigo 1.01
#16 Sevilla 0.99
#17 Deportivo La Coruña 0.97
#18 Valencia 0.87
#19 Málaga 0.84
#20 Getafe 0.69
League avg
1.48
Total
8.30 7 matches
Defence
1.68 xGA per match
#15/20
Defence (xGA per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Atlético Madrid 1.02
#2 Real Madrid 1.09
#3 Barcelona 1.09
#4 Deportivo La Coruña 1.15
#5 Deportivo Alavés 1.19
#6 Villarreal 1.25
#7 Celta Vigo 1.26
#8 Getafe 1.27
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Athletic Club 1.36
#11 Espanyol 1.36
#12 Osasuna 1.39
#13 Valencia 1.64
#14 Málaga 1.66
#15 Real Sociedad 1.68
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.76
#17 Real Betis 1.86
#18 Elche 2.01
#19 Levante UD 2.08
#20 Racing de Santander 2.20
League avg
1.48
Total
11.79 7 matches
xG difference
-0.50 xGD per match
#14/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Barcelona +2.99
#2 Real Madrid +1.55
#3 Villarreal +1.12
#4 Atlético Madrid +0.70
#5 Athletic Club +0.28
#6 Deportivo Alavés +0.09
#7 Espanyol -0.12
#8 Osasuna -0.15
#9 Deportivo La Coruña -0.18
#10 Celta Vigo -0.26
#11 Sevilla -0.31
#12 Real Betis -0.34
#13 Rayo Vallecano -0.50
#14 Real Sociedad -0.50
#15 Getafe -0.57
#16 Levante UD -0.75
#17 Racing de Santander -0.76
#18 Elche -0.77
#19 Valencia -0.78
#20 Málaga -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.49 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.17 xPts per match
#12/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Barcelona 2.66
#2 Real Madrid 2.27
#3 Villarreal 1.92
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.86
#5 Athletic Club 1.82
#6 Deportivo Alavés 1.44
#7 Osasuna 1.36
#8 Espanyol 1.35
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Celta Vigo 1.28
#11 Real Betis 1.20
#12 Real Sociedad 1.17
#13 Elche 1.14
#14 Racing de Santander 1.14
#15 Deportivo La Coruña 1.14
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.12
#17 Levante UD 1.04
#18 Getafe 0.92
#19 Valencia 0.91
#20 Málaga 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
8.16 vs 10 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Real Sociedad's underlying numbers are among the weakest in La Liga. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.50 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 9 goals are 0.70 above 8.30 xG, while 10 points are 1.84 above 8.16 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.78 xG from penalties
9 8.30 +0.70 scored 0.70 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
13 11.79 +1.21 conceded 1.21 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 8.16 +1.84 1.84 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Real Sociedad are 0.70 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
9
xG
8.30
Gap
+0.70
Fri 21/08 Wed 26/08 Sat 29/08 Thu 03/09 Mon 07/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.36 -0.93 -0.75 -1.80 +0.62 +0.35 +0.70 -1.36 +0.43 +0.18 -1.05 +2.42 -0.27 +0.35 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Real Sociedad: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 21/08 Real Betis 0 1.36 -1.36 -1.36
Wed 26/08 Real Madrid 1 0.57 +0.43 -0.93
Sat 29/08 Espanyol 2 1.82 +0.18 -0.75
Thu 03/09 Celta Vigo 0 1.05 -1.05 -1.80
Mon 07/09 Elche 3 0.58 +2.42 +0.62
Sun 13/09 Atlético Madrid 0 0.27 -0.27 +0.35
Sun 20/09 Valencia 3 2.65 +0.35 +0.70

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Real Sociedad xG trend

Current form -0.57 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against Real Madrid on Wed 26/08 (-2.57).

npxG · last 6
1.02
npxGA · last 6
1.59
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.33 Fri 21/08 -2.57 Wed 26/08 +1.02 Sat 29/08 +0.66 Thu 03/09 -1.90 Mon 07/09 -0.89 Sun 13/09 +0.27 Sun 20/09 -0.44 season avg
Real Sociedad: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 21/08 Real Betis 1.39 1.06 +0.33 +0.33
Wed 26/08 Real Madrid 0.57 3.14 -2.57 -1.12
Sat 29/08 Espanyol 1.78 0.76 +1.02 -0.41
Thu 03/09 Celta Vigo 1.03 0.37 +0.66 -0.14
Mon 07/09 Elche 0.58 2.48 -1.90 -0.49
Sun 13/09 Atlético Madrid 0.25 1.14 -0.89 -0.56
Sun 20/09 Valencia 1.92 1.65 +0.27 -0.44

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.07 npxG and 1.51 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 10 hardest of 20 in La Liga
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 17 hardest of 20 in La Liga
−0.12 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 10 hardest of 20

  1. Valencia Away −0.22
  2. Atlético Madrid Home +0.34
  3. Elche Away −0.26
  4. Celta Vigo Home −0.36
  5. Espanyol Home −0.11
  6. Real Madrid Away +0.60
  7. Real Betis Away +0.04

Last 5

−0.12 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 17 hardest of 20

  1. Valencia Away −0.22
  2. Atlético Madrid Home +0.34
  3. Elche Away −0.26
  4. Celta Vigo Home −0.36
  5. Espanyol Home −0.11

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Real Sociedad shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Real Sociedad take 13.4 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =8 in La Liga for volume and #17 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 20%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.4 shots per match
=8/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 21.4
#2 Real Madrid 18.9
#3 Real Betis 17.4
#4 Atlético Madrid 16.9
#5 Villarreal 16.0
#6 Athletic Club 15.7
#7 Espanyol 13.6
=8 Rayo Vallecano 13.4
=8 Real Sociedad 13.4
#10 Deportivo Alavés 12.4
#11 Getafe 11.7
#12 Elche 11.3
#13 Sevilla 11.0
#14 Levante UD 10.7
#15 Valencia 10.6
=16 Celta Vigo 10.3
=16 Racing de Santander 10.3
#18 Deportivo La Coruña 10.1
#19 Málaga 10.0
#20 Osasuna 9.4
League avg
13.2
Total
94 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#17/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Barcelona 0.16
#2 Levante UD 0.13
#3 Real Madrid 0.13
#4 Villarreal 0.13
#5 Deportivo Alavés 0.11
#6 Racing de Santander 0.10
#7 Elche 0.10
#8 Deportivo La Coruña 0.10
#9 Osasuna 0.10
#10 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#11 Athletic Club 0.09
#12 Espanyol 0.09
#13 Real Betis 0.09
#14 Atlético Madrid 0.09
#15 Valencia 0.08
#16 Celta Vigo 0.08
#17 Real Sociedad 0.08
#18 Sevilla 0.07
#19 Málaga 0.06
#20 Getafe 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
7.52 npxG from 94 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.9 shots per match
#18/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 7.3
#2 Athletic Club 9.5
#3 Atlético Madrid 9.7
#4 Sevilla 11.3
#5 Espanyol 12.0
#6 Deportivo Alavés 12.1
#7 Celta Vigo 12.4
=8 Osasuna 12.7
=8 Real Madrid 12.7
=10 Deportivo La Coruña 12.9
=10 Villarreal 12.9
#12 Getafe 13.3
#13 Málaga 14.9
#14 Levante UD 15.2
=15 Elche 15.3
=15 Valencia 15.3
#17 Real Betis 15.7
#18 Real Sociedad 15.9
#19 Rayo Vallecano 16.6
#20 Racing de Santander 16.7
League avg
13.2
Total
111 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#9/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Deportivo Alavés 0.07
#2 Getafe 0.07
#3 Real Madrid 0.08
#4 Atlético Madrid 0.08
#5 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#6 Deportivo La Coruña 0.09
#7 Villarreal 0.09
#8 Celta Vigo 0.09
#9 Real Sociedad 0.10
#10 Málaga 0.10
#11 Athletic Club 0.10
#12 Valencia 0.10
#13 Racing de Santander 0.11
#14 Espanyol 0.11
#15 Sevilla 0.11
#16 Osasuna 0.11
#17 Real Betis 0.12
#18 Levante UD 0.12
#19 Elche 0.12
#20 Barcelona 0.15
League avg
0.10
Total
10.60 npxGA from 111 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

60% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 56 of 94 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 69 of 111 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.3 of 7.5 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

89% open play · 11% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.2 of 10.4 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Real Sociedad home and away xG

Real Sociedad per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.05 1.29
xGA / match 1.13 2.10
xGD / match -0.08 -0.81
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.41 0.99

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Real Sociedad match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.19
xGA / match
1.68
xGD / match
-0.50
Points
10 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Valencia A Best underlying xG 2.65 P xGA 1.55 xGD +1.10
  2. Sun 13/09 Atlético Madrid H xG 0.27 xGA 2.05 P xGD -1.78
  3. Mon 07/09 Elche A Against the chances xG 0.58 xGA 2.47 xGD -1.89
  4. Thu 03/09 Celta Vigo H xG 1.05 xGA 0.43 xGD +0.62
  5. Sat 29/08 Espanyol H xG 1.82 xGA 0.91 xGD +0.91
  6. Wed 26/08 Real Madrid A Weakest underlying xG 0.57 xGA 3.14 xGD -2.57
  7. Fri 21/08 Real Betis A xG 1.36 xGA 1.24 xGD +0.12

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.14. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Real Sociedad in La Liga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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