Saturday, 31/10/2026 at 18:00
25d 13h to kick-offFK Železiarne Podbrezová – ŠK Slovan Bratislava
Model updated 6 October, 03:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FK Železiarne Podbrezová
- 33%
- Draw
- 27%
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava
- 40%
| FK Železiarne Podbrezová | Draw | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 3.07 | 3.66 | 2.49 |
- Total goals
- 3.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Both teams to score
- 69%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans ŠK Slovan Bratislava
40% ŠK Slovan Bratislava to win
- Attack
- 2nd vs 6th
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava attack v FK Železiarne Podbrezová defence
- Defence
- 2nd vs 6th
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava defence v FK Železiarne Podbrezová attack
- Recent xG form
- +1.25 vs -0.23
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.52 – 1.68
- FK Železiarne Podbrezová v ŠK Slovan Bratislava
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FK Železiarne Podbrezová | ŠK Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.61 · 9th | (better) 2.40 · 2nd |
| xGA / match | 2.16 · 10th | (better) 1.12 · 2nd |
| xGD / match | -0.54 · 8th | (better) +1.28 · 2nd |
| xPts / match | 1.11 · 8th | (better) 2.08 · 2nd |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.23 | (better) +1.25 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 31% of the model's distribution.
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava clean sheet
- 19%
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
- 52%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- Both teams to score: no
- 31%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 12.5%
- 1:2
- 10.0%
- 2:1
- 8.9%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FK Železiarne Podbrezová sample
- 20 matches
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FK Železiarne Podbrezová
- 2 matches
- Away xG sample · ŠK Slovan Bratislava
- 4 matches
- Computed
- Tuesday, 06/10/2026 at 03:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.