xgEdge

Expected goals

ŠK Slovan Bratislava expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Niké Liga (Slovakia) · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

ŠK Slovan Bratislava's attacking and defensive expected goals in Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

ŠK Slovan Bratislava xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.40 xG per match
#2/12
Attack (xG per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.57
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.40
#3 DAC 1904 2.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.88
#5 MFK Ružomberok 1.78
#6 AS Trenčín 1.72
#7 FC Košice 1.69
#8 KFC Komárno 1.66
#9 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.61
#10 MFK Skalica 1.28
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.11
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.97
League avg
1.72
Total
19.23 8 matches
Defence
1.12 xGA per match
#2/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.96
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.12
#3 KFC Komárno 1.32
#4 DAC 1904 1.38
#5 MŠK Žilina 1.44
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.84
#7 MFK Ružomberok 1.84
#8 MFK Skalica 1.98
#9 Dukla Banská Bystrica 2.09
#10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 2.16
#11 AS Trenčín 2.23
#12 FC Košice 2.48
League avg
1.72
Total
8.97 8 matches
xG difference
+1.28 xGD per match
#2/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava +1.61
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava +1.28
#3 DAC 1904 +0.73
#4 MŠK Žilina +0.45
#5 KFC Komárno +0.34
#6 MFK Ružomberok -0.06
#7 AS Trenčín -0.50
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová -0.54
#9 MFK Skalica -0.71
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce -0.73
#11 FC Košice -0.79
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica -1.11
League avg
0.00
Total
+10.26 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.08 xPts per match
#2/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.25
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.08
#3 DAC 1904 1.91
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.64
#5 KFC Komárno 1.59
#6 MFK Ružomberok 1.38
#7 FC Košice 1.16
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.11
#9 AS Trenčín 1.09
#10 MFK Skalica 0.98
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.97
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.79
League avg
1.41
Total
16.62 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

ŠK Slovan Bratislava's underlying numbers are among the best in Niké Liga (Slovakia). They rank #2 for xG difference at +1.28 per match, driven by both high shot volume and elite chance quality. Their 20 goals are 0.77 above 19.23 xG, while 16 points are 0.62 below 16.62 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
20 19.23 +0.77 scored 0.77 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 8.97 +0.03 conceded 0.03 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 16.62 -0.62 0.62 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

ŠK Slovan Bratislava are 0.77 goals above their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at +4.68, against MFK Ružomberok on Sat 15/08.

Goals
20
xG
19.23
Gap
+0.77
Sun 26/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +2.34 +2.20 +4.68 +2.02 +0.57 +0.22 +0.24 +0.77 +2.34 -0.14 +2.48 -2.66 -1.45 -0.35 +0.02 +0.53 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
ŠK Slovan Bratislava: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Dukla Banská Bystrica 4 1.66 +2.34 +2.34
Sat 01/08 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 3 3.14 -0.14 +2.20
Sat 15/08 MFK Ružomberok 5 2.52 +2.48 +4.68
Sat 22/08 FC Košice 2 4.66 -2.66 +2.02
Sun 30/08 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1 2.45 -1.45 +0.57
Sat 05/09 DAC 1904 0 0.35 -0.35 +0.22
Sun 13/09 MŠK Žilina 3 2.98 +0.02 +0.24
Sat 19/09 KFC Komárno 2 1.47 +0.53 +0.77

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

ŠK Slovan Bratislava xG trend

Current form +1.25 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 8 matches. The only negative was against DAC 1904 on Sat 05/09 (-1.56).

npxG · last 6
2.41
npxGA · last 6
1.15
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.58 Sun 26/07 +2.16 Sat 01/08 +1.41 Sat 15/08 +3.74 Sat 22/08 +1.99 Sun 30/08 -1.56 Sat 05/09 +1.80 Sun 13/09 +0.14 Sat 19/09 +1.28 season avg
ŠK Slovan Bratislava: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Dukla Banská Bystrica 1.66 1.08 +0.58 +0.58
Sat 01/08 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 3.14 0.98 +2.16 +1.37
Sat 15/08 MFK Ružomberok 2.52 1.11 +1.41 +1.38
Sat 22/08 FC Košice 4.66 0.92 +3.74 +1.97
Sun 30/08 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 2.45 0.46 +1.99 +1.98
Sat 05/09 DAC 1904 0.35 1.91 -1.56 +1.39
Sun 13/09 MŠK Žilina 2.98 1.18 +1.80 +1.45
Sat 19/09 KFC Komárno 1.47 1.33 +0.14 +1.28

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.40 npxG and 1.12 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 12

  1. KFC Komárno Away −0.01
  2. MŠK Žilina Home +0.16
  3. DAC 1904 Away +0.51
  4. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Home −0.30
  5. FC Košice Away −0.14
  6. MFK Ružomberok Home −0.22
  7. FK Železiarne Podbrezová Home 0.00
  8. Dukla Banská Bystrica Away −0.38

Last 5

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 12

  1. KFC Komárno Away −0.01
  2. MŠK Žilina Home +0.16
  3. DAC 1904 Away +0.51
  4. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Home −0.30
  5. FC Košice Away −0.14

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

ŠK Slovan Bratislava shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. ŠK Slovan Bratislava take 16.9 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #4 in Niké Liga (Slovakia) for volume and #2 for quality. 70% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.9 shots per match
#4/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 DAC 1904 17.6
=1 MŠK Žilina 17.6
#3 FC Spartak Trnava 17.5
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 16.9
#5 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 15.0
#6 MFK Ružomberok 14.2
#7 AS Trenčín 13.4
#8 MFK Skalica 12.2
#9 FC Košice 12.0
#10 KFC Komárno 11.9
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 11.3
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 11.2
League avg
14.1
Total
135 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#2/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.15
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.14
#3 FC Košice 0.14
#4 KFC Komárno 0.14
#5 AS Trenčín 0.13
#6 MFK Ružomberok 0.13
#7 DAC 1904 0.12
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.11
#9 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#10 MFK Skalica 0.11
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.10
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
19.23 npxG from 135 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.9 shots per match
#2/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 9.5
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 10.9
#3 DAC 1904 12.8
#4 MFK Ružomberok 13.2
#5 MŠK Žilina 13.6
#6 FC Košice 14.0
#7 Dukla Banská Bystrica 14.5
#8 KFC Komárno 14.7
#9 MFK Skalica 15.5
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 16.3
#11 AS Trenčín 16.6
#12 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 16.8
League avg
14.1
Total
87 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#3/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KFC Komárno 0.09
#2 FC Spartak Trnava 0.10
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#5 DAC 1904 0.11
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.11
#7 MFK Skalica 0.13
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.13
#9 AS Trenčín 0.13
#10 MFK Ružomberok 0.14
#11 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.14
#12 FC Košice 0.18
League avg
0.12
Total
8.97 npxGA from 87 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

70% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 95 of 135 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

57% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 50 of 87 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

ŠK Slovan Bratislava home and away xG

ŠK Slovan Bratislava per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 4
xG / match 2.77 2.04
xGA / match 0.93 1.31
xGD / match +1.84 +0.73
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.54 1.62

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every ŠK Slovan Bratislava match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
8
xG / match
2.40
xGA / match
1.12
xGD / match
+1.28
Points
16 of 24
  1. Sat 19/09 KFC Komárno A xG 1.47 xGA 1.33 xGD +0.14
  2. Sun 13/09 MŠK Žilina H xG 2.98 xGA 1.18 xGD +1.80
  3. Sat 05/09 DAC 1904 A Weakest underlying xG 0.35 xGA 1.91 xGD -1.56
  4. Sun 30/08 MFK Zemplín Michalovce H Against the chances xG 2.45 xGA 0.46 xGD +1.99
  5. Sat 22/08 FC Košice A Best underlying xG 4.66 xGA 0.92 xGD +3.74
  6. Sat 15/08 MFK Ružomberok H xG 2.52 xGA 1.11 xGD +1.41
  7. Sat 01/08 FK Železiarne Podbrezová H xG 3.14 xGA 0.98 xGD +2.16
  8. Sun 26/07 Dukla Banská Bystrica A xG 1.66 xGA 1.08 xGD +0.58

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.66. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

ŠK Slovan Bratislava in Niké Liga (Slovakia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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