xgEdge

Expected goals

Shamrock Rovers expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 31 matches · updated 1 Oct

Shamrock Rovers's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Shamrock Rovers xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.41 xG per match
#4/10
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.78
#2 Bohemian FC 1.63
#3 Dundalk FC 1.58
#4 Shamrock Rovers 1.41
#5 Shelbourne 1.40
#6 Waterford FC 1.40
#7 Galway United 1.35
#8 Derry City 1.18
#9 Drogheda United 1.16
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.03
League avg
1.39
Total
43.57 31 matches
Defence
1.14 xGA per match
#3/10
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.93
#2 Bohemian FC 1.10
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.14
#4 Derry City 1.18
#5 Shelbourne 1.20
#6 Galway United 1.51
#7 Dundalk FC 1.57
#8 Drogheda United 1.60
#9 Waterford FC 1.77
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.88
League avg
1.39
Total
35.28 31 matches
xG difference
+0.27 xGD per match
#3/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.85
#2 Bohemian FC +0.53
#3 Shamrock Rovers +0.27
#4 Shelbourne +0.20
#5 Dundalk FC +0.01
#6 Derry City +0.01
#7 Galway United -0.16
#8 Waterford FC -0.38
#9 Drogheda United -0.44
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.85
League avg
0.00
Total
+8.29 31 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.58 xPts per match
#3/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.87
#2 Bohemian FC 1.75
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.58
#4 Shelbourne 1.48
#5 Derry City 1.37
#6 Dundalk FC 1.37
#7 Galway United 1.28
#8 Waterford FC 1.17
#9 Drogheda United 1.10
#10 Sligo Rovers 0.87
League avg
1.38
Total
48.86 vs 59 actual pts

What the xG says

Shamrock Rovers's underlying numbers are among the best in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.27 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 49 goals are 5.43 above 43.57 xG, while 59 points are 10.14 above 48.86 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
49 43.57 +5.43 scored 5.43 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
31 35.28 -4.28 conceded 4.28 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
59 48.86 +10.14 10.14 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Shamrock Rovers are 5.43 goals above their xG after 31 matches. The gap was widest at +7.02, against Derry City on Sun 30/08.

Goals
49
xG
43.57
Gap
+5.43
Fri 20/02 Mon 23/02 Fri 27/02 Fri 06/03 Mon 09/03 Fri 13/03 Mon 16/03 Fri 20/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Fri 10/04 Fri 17/04 Fri 24/04 Fri 01/05 Mon 04/05 Fri 08/05 Fri 15/05 Fri 22/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Fri 12/06 Fri 19/06 Mon 22/06 Fri 26/06 Fri 03/07 Fri 31/07 Fri 07/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Fri 11/09 Fri 18/09 -1 +1 +3 +5 +7 +0.66 -0.02 +1.41 +0.62 +0.97 +1.42 +0.92 +2.20 +1.33 +2.75 +3.11 +3.67 +2.53 +1.63 +2.97 +4.82 +3.72 +3.24 +3.90 +4.45 +3.99 +4.89 +4.44 +4.95 +5.33 +4.57 +4.91 +7.02 +5.37 +4.48 +5.43 +0.66 -0.68 +1.43 -0.79 +0.35 +0.45 -0.50 +1.28 -0.87 +1.42 +0.36 +0.56 -1.14 -0.90 +1.34 +1.85 -1.10 -0.48 +0.66 +0.55 -0.46 +0.90 -0.45 +0.51 +0.38 -0.76 +0.34 +2.11 -1.65 -0.89 +0.95 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Shamrock Rovers: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 20/02 St. Patrick's Athletic 2 1.34 +0.66 +0.66
Mon 23/02 Dundalk FC 1 1.68 -0.68 -0.02
Fri 27/02 Bohemian FC 2 0.57 +1.43 +1.41
Fri 06/03 Derry City 1 1.79 -0.79 +0.62
Mon 09/03 Shelbourne 2 1.65 +0.35 +0.97
Fri 13/03 Sligo Rovers 2 1.55 +0.45 +1.42
Mon 16/03 Drogheda United 0 0.50 -0.50 +0.92
Fri 20/03 Galway United 2 0.72 +1.28 +2.20
Fri 03/04 Waterford FC 1 1.87 -0.87 +1.33
Mon 06/04 Shelbourne 3 1.58 +1.42 +2.75
Fri 10/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 0.64 +0.36 +3.11
Fri 17/04 Bohemian FC 2 1.44 +0.56 +3.67
Fri 24/04 Derry City 0 1.14 -1.14 +2.53
Fri 01/05 Waterford FC 1 1.90 -0.90 +1.63
Mon 04/05 Drogheda United 4 2.66 +1.34 +2.97
Fri 08/05 Galway United 3 1.15 +1.85 +4.82
Fri 15/05 Dundalk FC 0 1.10 -1.10 +3.72
Fri 22/05 Sligo Rovers 1 1.48 -0.48 +3.24
Mon 25/05 Bohemian FC 2 1.34 +0.66 +3.90
Fri 29/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 0.45 +0.55 +4.45
Fri 12/06 Shelbourne 1 1.46 -0.46 +3.99
Fri 19/06 Waterford FC 2 1.10 +0.90 +4.89
Mon 22/06 Derry City 1 1.45 -0.45 +4.44
Fri 26/06 Galway United 3 2.49 +0.51 +4.95
Fri 03/07 Sligo Rovers 2 1.62 +0.38 +5.33
Fri 31/07 Drogheda United 0 0.76 -0.76 +4.57
Fri 07/08 Dundalk FC 3 2.66 +0.34 +4.91
Sun 30/08 Derry City 3 0.89 +2.11 +7.02
Fri 04/09 Shelbourne 0 1.65 -1.65 +5.37
Fri 11/09 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.89 -0.89 +4.48
Fri 18/09 Waterford FC 3 2.05 +0.95 +5.43

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Shamrock Rovers xG trend

Current form +0.36 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 20 of 31 matches. The worst was against Bohemian FC on Fri 27/02 (-1.24).

npxG · last 6
1.48
npxGA · last 6
1.12
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.27 Fri 20/02 +0.44 Mon 23/02 -1.24 Fri 27/02 +1.40 Fri 06/03 +0.40 Mon 09/03 +0.34 Fri 13/03 -0.22 Mon 16/03 +0.39 Fri 20/03 +1.06 Fri 03/04 +1.35 Mon 06/04 -0.24 Fri 10/04 -1.06 Fri 17/04 -1.02 Fri 24/04 +1.26 Fri 01/05 +1.35 Mon 04/05 -0.28 Fri 08/05 +0.65 Fri 15/05 +0.28 Fri 22/05 -1.02 Mon 25/05 -0.33 Fri 29/05 +0.97 Fri 12/06 +0.63 Fri 19/06 +0.14 Mon 22/06 +0.09 Fri 26/06 +0.50 Fri 03/07 -0.18 Fri 31/07 +0.94 Fri 07/08 -0.31 Sun 30/08 +0.83 Fri 04/09 -0.14 Fri 11/09 +1.04 Fri 18/09 +0.27 season avg
Shamrock Rovers: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 20/02 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.34 1.07 +0.27 +0.27
Mon 23/02 Dundalk FC 1.68 1.24 +0.44 +0.36
Fri 27/02 Bohemian FC 0.57 1.81 -1.24 -0.18
Fri 06/03 Derry City 1.79 0.39 +1.40 +0.22
Mon 09/03 Shelbourne 1.65 1.25 +0.40 +0.25
Fri 13/03 Sligo Rovers 1.55 1.21 +0.34 +0.27
Mon 16/03 Drogheda United 0.50 0.72 -0.22 +0.20
Fri 20/03 Galway United 0.72 0.33 +0.39 +0.22
Fri 03/04 Waterford FC 1.87 0.81 +1.06 +0.32
Mon 06/04 Shelbourne 1.58 0.23 +1.35 +0.42
Fri 10/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.64 0.88 -0.24 +0.36
Fri 17/04 Bohemian FC 1.44 2.50 -1.06 +0.24
Fri 24/04 Derry City 1.14 2.16 -1.02 +0.14
Fri 01/05 Waterford FC 1.90 0.64 +1.26 +0.22
Mon 04/05 Drogheda United 2.66 1.31 +1.35 +0.30
Fri 08/05 Galway United 1.15 1.43 -0.28 +0.26
Fri 15/05 Dundalk FC 1.10 0.45 +0.65 +0.29
Fri 22/05 Sligo Rovers 1.48 1.20 +0.28 +0.29
Mon 25/05 Bohemian FC 1.34 2.36 -1.02 +0.22
Fri 29/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.45 0.78 -0.33 +0.19
Fri 12/06 Shelbourne 1.46 0.49 +0.97 +0.23
Fri 19/06 Waterford FC 1.10 0.47 +0.63 +0.24
Mon 22/06 Derry City 1.45 1.31 +0.14 +0.24
Fri 26/06 Galway United 2.49 2.40 +0.09 +0.23
Fri 03/07 Sligo Rovers 1.62 1.12 +0.50 +0.24
Fri 31/07 Drogheda United 0.76 0.94 -0.18 +0.23
Fri 07/08 Dundalk FC 2.66 1.72 +0.94 +0.25
Sun 30/08 Derry City 0.89 1.20 -0.31 +0.23
Fri 04/09 Shelbourne 1.65 0.82 +0.83 +0.25
Fri 11/09 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.89 1.03 -0.14 +0.24
Fri 18/09 Waterford FC 2.05 1.01 +1.04 +0.27

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.41 npxG and 1.14 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 4 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 31 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.17 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 31 matches · number 4 hardest of 10

  1. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  2. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  3. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  4. Derry City Away +0.14
  5. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  6. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  7. Sligo Rovers Away −0.77
  8. Galway United Home −0.34
  9. Derry City Home +0.14
  10. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  11. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  12. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  13. Bohemian FC Away +0.42
  14. Sligo Rovers Home −0.77
  15. Dundalk FC Away −0.01
  16. Galway United Away −0.34
  17. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  18. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  19. Derry City Away +0.14
  20. Bohemian FC Home +0.42
  21. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  22. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  23. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  24. Galway United Home −0.34
  25. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  26. Sligo Rovers Away −0.77
  27. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  28. Derry City Home +0.14
  29. Bohemian FC Away +0.42
  30. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  31. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56

Last 5

+0.17 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 10

  1. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  2. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  3. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  4. Derry City Away +0.14
  5. Dundalk FC Home −0.01

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Shamrock Rovers shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Shamrock Rovers take 13.8 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #6 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.8 shots per match
#5/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 17.3
#2 Bohemian FC 16.7
#3 Dundalk FC 16.3
#4 Shelbourne 14.1
#5 Shamrock Rovers 13.8
#6 Derry City 13.7
#7 Waterford FC 13.4
#8 Galway United 12.2
#9 Drogheda United 10.9
#10 Sligo Rovers 9.7
League avg
13.8
Total
428 shots from 31 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#6/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galway United 0.11
#2 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#3 Drogheda United 0.11
#4 Waterford FC 0.10
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Shelbourne 0.10
#8 Bohemian FC 0.10
#9 Dundalk FC 0.10
#10 Derry City 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
43.57 npxG from 428 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.0 shots per match
#3/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 10.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.3
#3 Shamrock Rovers 11.0
#4 Derry City 11.2
#5 Shelbourne 12.2
#6 Dundalk FC 13.9
#7 Drogheda United 15.4
#8 Galway United 16.4
#9 Waterford FC 17.6
#10 Sligo Rovers 19.3
League avg
13.8
Total
341 shots allowed from 31 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#6/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#2 Galway United 0.09
#3 Sligo Rovers 0.10
#4 Shelbourne 0.10
#5 Waterford FC 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Drogheda United 0.10
#8 Derry City 0.11
#9 Bohemian FC 0.11
#10 Dundalk FC 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
35.28 npxGA from 341 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 277 of 428 shots over 31 matches

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 222 of 342 shots allowed over 31 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Shamrock Rovers home and away xG

Shamrock Rovers per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 15 16
xG / match 1.69 1.14
xGA / match 1.13 1.15
xGD / match +0.56 -0.01
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.80 1.37

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Shamrock Rovers match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
31
xG / match
1.41
xGA / match
1.14
xGD / match
+0.27
Points
59 of 93
  1. Fri 18/09 Waterford FC H xG 2.05 xGA 1.01 xGD +1.04
  2. Fri 11/09 St. Patrick's Athletic A xG 0.89 xGA 1.03 xGD -0.14
  3. Fri 04/09 Shelbourne H xG 1.65 xGA 0.82 xGD +0.83
  4. Sun 30/08 Derry City A xG 0.89 xGA 1.20 xGD -0.31
  5. Fri 07/08 Dundalk FC H xG 2.66 xGA 1.72 xGD +0.94
  6. Fri 31/07 Drogheda United A xG 0.76 xGA 0.94 xGD -0.18
  7. Fri 03/07 Sligo Rovers A xG 1.62 xGA 1.12 xGD +0.50
  8. Fri 26/06 Galway United H xG 2.49 xGA 2.40 xGD +0.09
  9. Mon 22/06 Derry City H xG 1.45 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.14
  10. Fri 19/06 Waterford FC A xG 1.10 xGA 0.47 xGD +0.63
  11. Fri 12/06 Shelbourne A xG 1.46 xGA 0.49 xGD +0.97
  12. Fri 29/05 St. Patrick's Athletic H xG 0.45 xGA 0.78 xGD -0.33
  13. Mon 25/05 Bohemian FC A Against the chances xG 1.34 xGA 2.36 xGD -1.02
  14. Fri 22/05 Sligo Rovers H xG 1.48 xGA 1.20 xGD +0.28
  15. Fri 15/05 Dundalk FC A xG 1.10 xGA 0.45 xGD +0.65
  16. Fri 08/05 Galway United A xG 1.15 xGA 1.43 xGD -0.28
  17. Mon 04/05 Drogheda United H xG 2.66 xGA 1.31 xGD +1.35
  18. Fri 01/05 Waterford FC H xG 1.90 xGA 0.64 xGD +1.26
  19. Fri 24/04 Derry City A xG 1.14 xGA 2.16 xGD -1.02
  20. Fri 17/04 Bohemian FC H Against the chances xG 1.44 xGA 2.50 xGD -1.06
  21. Fri 10/04 St. Patrick's Athletic A xG 0.64 xGA 0.88 xGD -0.24
  22. Mon 06/04 Shelbourne H xG 1.58 xGA 0.23 xGD +1.35
  23. Fri 03/04 Waterford FC A xG 1.87 xGA 0.81 xGD +1.06
  24. Fri 20/03 Galway United H xG 0.72 xGA 0.33 xGD +0.39
  25. Mon 16/03 Drogheda United A xG 0.50 xGA 0.72 xGD -0.22
  26. Fri 13/03 Sligo Rovers A xG 1.55 xGA 1.21 xGD +0.34
  27. Mon 09/03 Shelbourne A xG 1.65 xGA 1.25 xGD +0.40
  28. Fri 06/03 Derry City H Best underlying xG 1.79 xGA 0.39 xGD +1.40
  29. Fri 27/02 Bohemian FC A Weakest underlying xG 0.57 xGA 1.81 xGD -1.24
  30. Mon 23/02 Dundalk FC H xG 1.68 xGA 1.24 xGD +0.44
  31. Fri 20/02 St. Patrick's Athletic H xG 1.34 xGA 1.07 xGD +0.27

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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