xgEdge

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 17:30

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Match report · Premier League

Chelsea 0:3 Manchester City

Chelsea Home 1.14 xG · 12 shots
Manchester City Away 2.29 xG · 18 shots
03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 51' Nico O'Reilly Manchester City · 0.40 xG chance 0–1
  2. 57' Marc Guéhi Manchester City · 0.27 xG chance 0–2
  3. 68' Jérémy Doku Manchester City · 0.09 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Chelsea Manchester City
Shots
12
18
On target
3
8
Inside the box
7
14
xG per shot
0.09
0.11
Open play xG
0.98
1.55
Set-piece xG
0.15
0.35
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.14 for Chelsea and 1.89 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Marc Cucurella · 83' · No goal · 4 m · 0.50 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 51' · Goal · 5 m · 0.40 xG Manchester City · Marc Guéhi · 57' · Goal · 12 m · 0.27 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 47' · No goal · 11 m · 0.19 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 34' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 70' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 39' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 45' · No goal · 19 m · 0.10 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 85' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 68' · Goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 54' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 87' · No goal · 4 m · 0.08 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 22' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 9' · No goal · 4 m · 0.06 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 6' · No goal · 3 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 10' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 19' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Andrey Santos · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 80' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 21' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 47' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 68' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Moisés Caicedo · 71' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Antoine Semenyo · 79' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Marc Cucurella · 71' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Abdukodir Khusanov · 75' · No goal · 31 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 74' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 3.03 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Chelsea
  • Manchester City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Chelsea

2.09 xG created 1.11 xGA

  • D 3.13 created, 1.44 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Burnley
  • L 1.05 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 3.92 created, 0.88 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 1.43 created, 1.42 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 1.11 created, 0.98 conceded against Everton
Manchester City

1.92 xG created 1.03 xGA

  • W 2.91 created, 1.21 conceded against Liverpool
  • W 1.37 created, 1.42 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.35 created, 0.58 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.77 created, 1.47 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 2.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 2.12 created, 0.54 conceded against West Ham United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Chelsea: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.