Everton 3:3 Manchester City: xG & match report · Premier League

Monday, 04/05/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Everton Home 2.72 xG · 14 shots

Manchester City Away 1.54 xG · 21 shots

33 Everton had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

43' Jérémy Doku Manchester City · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
68' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.53 xG chance 1–1
73' Jake O'Brien Everton · 0.18 xG chance 2–1
81' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.84 xG chance 3–1
83' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.27 xG chance 3–2
90' Jérémy Doku Manchester City · 0.04 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Everton Manchester City

Shots: 14; 21
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 10; 13
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.66; 1.06
Set-piece xG: 1.13; 0.41
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.77 for Everton and 1.44 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.26 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Everton
Manchester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Everton

1.15 xG created 1.66 xGA

W 1.10 created, 0.79 conceded against Burnley
L 1.05 created, 2.59 conceded against Arsenal
W 0.98 created, 1.11 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.53 created, 2.84 conceded against Brentford
L 0.79 created, 1.45 conceded against Liverpool
L 1.45 created, 1.17 conceded against West Ham United

Manchester City

2.15 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 1.77 created, 1.47 conceded against Leeds United
D 2.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Nottingham Forest
D 2.12 created, 0.54 conceded against West Ham United
W 2.29 created, 1.14 conceded against Chelsea
W 1.36 created, 1.62 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.36 created, 0.63 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Everton: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Manchester City 2:0 Everton 18/10/2025 xG 2.38 – 0.81

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.