xgEdge

Expected goals

Pisa expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Serie A · after 38 matches · updated 1 Oct

Pisa's attacking and defensive expected goals in Serie A 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Pisa xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.02 xG per match
#15/20
Attack (xG per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Inter 1.88
#2 Juventus 1.78
#3 Como 1.63
#4 Milan 1.55
#5 Atalanta 1.52
#6 Roma 1.45
#7 Fiorentina 1.40
#8 Napoli 1.36
#9 Torino 1.19
#10 Genoa 1.19
#11 Bologna 1.15
#12 Udinese 1.12
#13 Sassuolo 1.11
#14 Lazio 1.10
#15 Pisa 1.02
#16 Cagliari 1.00
#17 Hellas Verona 0.95
#18 Cremonese 0.93
#19 Parma 0.84
#20 Lecce 0.82
League avg
1.25
Total
38.68 38 matches
Defence
1.54 xGA per match
#20/20
Defence (xGA per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Juventus 0.86
#2 Como 0.89
#3 Inter 0.89
#4 Napoli 0.97
#5 Roma 1.04
#6 Atalanta 1.12
#7 Milan 1.17
#8 Bologna 1.20
#9 Lazio 1.23
#10 Genoa 1.28
#11 Hellas Verona 1.32
#12 Fiorentina 1.33
#13 Udinese 1.38
#14 Cagliari 1.41
#15 Torino 1.42
#16 Sassuolo 1.46
#17 Lecce 1.47
#18 Parma 1.47
#19 Cremonese 1.52
#20 Pisa 1.54
League avg
1.25
Total
58.53 38 matches
xG difference
-0.52 xGD per match
#17/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter +0.98
#2 Juventus +0.93
#3 Como +0.74
#4 Roma +0.41
#5 Atalanta +0.40
#6 Napoli +0.39
#7 Milan +0.38
#8 Fiorentina +0.07
#9 Bologna -0.05
#10 Genoa -0.10
#11 Lazio -0.13
#12 Torino -0.23
#13 Udinese -0.27
#14 Sassuolo -0.35
#15 Hellas Verona -0.37
#16 Cagliari -0.41
#17 Pisa -0.52
#18 Cremonese -0.59
#19 Parma -0.64
#20 Lecce -0.65
League avg
0.00
Total
-19.85 38 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.07 xPts per match
#17/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter 2.03
#2 Juventus 1.96
#3 Como 1.83
#4 Roma 1.68
#5 Atalanta 1.68
#6 Napoli 1.65
#7 Milan 1.65
#8 Fiorentina 1.41
#9 Bologna 1.34
#10 Genoa 1.26
#11 Lazio 1.21
#12 Udinese 1.21
#13 Torino 1.20
#14 Sassuolo 1.16
#15 Hellas Verona 1.11
#16 Cagliari 1.09
#17 Pisa 1.07
#18 Cremonese 1.01
#19 Parma 0.98
#20 Lecce 0.94
League avg
1.37
Total
40.56 vs 18 actual pts

What the xG says

Pisa's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Serie A. They rank #17 for xG difference at -0.52 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 26 goals are 12.68 below 38.68 xG, while 18 points are 22.56 below 40.56 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 5.03 xG from penalties
26 38.68 -12.68 scored 12.68 fewer than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
71 58.53 +12.47 conceded 12.47 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
18 40.56 -22.56 22.56 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Pisa are 12.68 goals below their xG after 38 matches.

Goals
26
xG
38.68
Gap
-12.68
Sun 24/08 Sat 30/08 Sun 14/09 Mon 22/09 Sun 28/09 Sun 05/10 Sat 18/10 Fri 24/10 Thu 30/10 Sun 02/11 Fri 07/11 Mon 24/11 Sun 30/11 Mon 08/12 Fri 12/12 Sun 21/12 Sat 27/12 Sat 03/01 Tue 06/01 Sat 10/01 Fri 16/01 Fri 23/01 Sat 31/01 Fri 06/02 Fri 13/02 Mon 23/02 Mon 02/03 Sat 07/03 Sun 15/03 Sun 22/03 Sun 05/04 Fri 10/04 Sun 19/04 Sat 25/04 Fri 01/05 Sun 10/05 Sun 17/05 Sat 23/05 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +0.37 -0.19 -0.72 -1.33 -2.13 -2.17 -2.82 -2.24 -3.17 -2.70 -2.51 -2.05 -3.08 -4.60 -4.82 -5.36 -6.01 -5.63 -7.19 -6.67 -6.86 -5.20 -4.99 -5.81 -5.58 -5.86 -6.32 -6.77 -6.24 -6.65 -6.97 -8.23 -8.36 -10.07 -11.30 -11.30 -12.12 -12.68 +0.37 -0.56 -0.53 -0.61 -0.80 -0.04 -0.65 +0.58 -0.93 +0.47 +0.19 +0.46 -1.03 -1.52 -0.22 -0.54 -0.65 +0.38 -1.56 +0.52 -0.19 +1.66 +0.21 -0.82 +0.23 -0.28 -0.46 -0.45 +0.53 -0.41 -0.32 -1.26 -0.13 -1.71 -1.23 +0.00 -0.82 -0.56 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Pisa: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 24/08 Atalanta 1 0.63 +0.37 +0.37
Sat 30/08 Roma 0 0.56 -0.56 -0.19
Sun 14/09 Udinese 0 0.53 -0.53 -0.72
Mon 22/09 Napoli 2 2.61 -0.61 -1.33
Sun 28/09 Fiorentina 0 0.80 -0.80 -2.13
Sun 05/10 Bologna 0 0.04 -0.04 -2.17
Sat 18/10 Hellas Verona 0 0.65 -0.65 -2.82
Fri 24/10 Milan 2 1.42 +0.58 -2.24
Thu 30/10 Lazio 0 0.93 -0.93 -3.17
Sun 02/11 Torino 2 1.53 +0.47 -2.70
Fri 07/11 Cremonese 1 0.81 +0.19 -2.51
Mon 24/11 Sassuolo 2 1.54 +0.46 -2.05
Sun 30/11 Inter 0 1.03 -1.03 -3.08
Mon 08/12 Parma 0 1.52 -1.52 -4.60
Fri 12/12 Lecce 0 0.22 -0.22 -4.82
Sun 21/12 Cagliari 2 2.54 -0.54 -5.36
Sat 27/12 Juventus 0 0.65 -0.65 -6.01
Sat 03/01 Genoa 1 0.62 +0.38 -5.63
Tue 06/01 Como 0 1.56 -1.56 -7.19
Sat 10/01 Udinese 2 1.48 +0.52 -6.67
Fri 16/01 Atalanta 1 1.19 -0.19 -6.86
Fri 23/01 Inter 2 0.34 +1.66 -5.20
Sat 31/01 Sassuolo 1 0.79 +0.21 -4.99
Fri 06/02 Hellas Verona 0 0.82 -0.82 -5.81
Fri 13/02 Milan 1 0.77 +0.23 -5.58
Mon 23/02 Fiorentina 0 0.28 -0.28 -5.86
Mon 02/03 Bologna 0 0.46 -0.46 -6.32
Sat 07/03 Juventus 0 0.45 -0.45 -6.77
Sun 15/03 Cagliari 3 2.47 +0.53 -6.24
Sun 22/03 Como 0 0.41 -0.41 -6.65
Sun 05/04 Torino 0 0.32 -0.32 -6.97
Fri 10/04 Roma 0 1.26 -1.26 -8.23
Sun 19/04 Genoa 1 1.13 -0.13 -8.36
Sat 25/04 Parma 0 1.71 -1.71 -10.07
Fri 01/05 Lecce 1 2.23 -1.23 -11.30
Sun 10/05 Cremonese 0 0.00 +0.00 -11.30
Sun 17/05 Napoli 0 0.82 -0.82 -12.12
Sat 23/05 Lazio 1 1.56 -0.56 -12.68

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Pisa xG trend

Current form +0.07 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 38 matches. The worst was against Inter on Fri 23/01 (-3.90).

npxG · last 6
1.23
npxGA · last 6
1.15
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.29 Sun 24/08 -0.23 Sat 30/08 -0.53 Sun 14/09 +0.78 Mon 22/09 -0.19 Sun 28/09 -3.60 Sun 05/10 -1.03 Sat 18/10 -0.82 Fri 24/10 +0.44 Thu 30/10 -0.18 Sun 02/11 +0.01 Fri 07/11 -1.00 Mon 24/11 -0.29 Sun 30/11 +1.07 Mon 08/12 -1.95 Fri 12/12 +0.33 Sun 21/12 -1.17 Sat 27/12 +0.09 Sat 03/01 -0.10 Tue 06/01 +0.36 Sat 10/01 +0.05 Fri 16/01 -3.90 Fri 23/01 -0.69 Sat 31/01 +0.70 Fri 06/02 -0.79 Fri 13/02 -1.57 Mon 23/02 -0.15 Mon 02/03 -2.23 Sat 07/03 +0.28 Sun 15/03 -1.08 Sun 22/03 -1.52 Sun 05/04 -0.58 Fri 10/04 +0.32 Sun 19/04 -0.29 Sat 25/04 +1.41 Fri 01/05 -1.16 Sun 10/05 -0.29 Sun 17/05 +0.46 Sat 23/05 -0.54 season avg
Pisa: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 24/08 Atalanta 0.63 1.92 -1.29 -1.29
Sat 30/08 Roma 0.56 0.79 -0.23 -0.76
Sun 14/09 Udinese 0.53 1.06 -0.53 -0.68
Mon 22/09 Napoli 1.87 1.09 +0.78 -0.32
Sun 28/09 Fiorentina 0.71 0.90 -0.19 -0.29
Sun 05/10 Bologna 0.03 3.63 -3.60 -0.84
Sat 18/10 Hellas Verona 0.51 1.54 -1.03 -0.87
Fri 24/10 Milan 0.72 1.54 -0.82 -0.86
Thu 30/10 Lazio 0.93 0.49 +0.44 -0.72
Sun 02/11 Torino 0.73 0.91 -0.18 -0.67
Fri 07/11 Cremonese 0.81 0.80 +0.01 -0.60
Mon 24/11 Sassuolo 0.76 1.76 -1.00 -0.64
Sun 30/11 Inter 1.72 2.01 -0.29 -0.61
Mon 08/12 Parma 1.52 0.45 +1.07 -0.49
Fri 12/12 Lecce 0.26 2.21 -1.95 -0.59
Sun 21/12 Cagliari 1.75 1.42 +0.33 -0.53
Sat 27/12 Juventus 0.57 1.74 -1.17 -0.57
Sat 03/01 Genoa 0.57 0.48 +0.09 -0.53
Tue 06/01 Como 0.78 0.88 -0.10 -0.51
Sat 10/01 Udinese 1.80 1.44 +0.36 -0.46
Fri 16/01 Atalanta 1.20 1.15 +0.05 -0.44
Fri 23/01 Inter 0.34 4.24 -3.90 -0.60
Sat 31/01 Sassuolo 0.94 1.63 -0.69 -0.60
Fri 06/02 Hellas Verona 0.76 0.06 +0.70 -0.55
Fri 13/02 Milan 0.77 1.56 -0.79 -0.56
Mon 23/02 Fiorentina 0.28 1.85 -1.57 -0.60
Mon 02/03 Bologna 0.46 0.61 -0.15 -0.58
Sat 07/03 Juventus 0.45 2.68 -2.23 -0.64
Sun 15/03 Cagliari 1.65 1.37 +0.28 -0.61
Sun 22/03 Como 0.41 1.49 -1.08 -0.62
Sun 05/04 Torino 0.32 1.84 -1.52 -0.65
Fri 10/04 Roma 0.95 1.53 -0.58 -0.65
Sun 19/04 Genoa 1.16 0.84 +0.32 -0.62
Sat 25/04 Parma 1.28 1.57 -0.29 -0.61
Fri 01/05 Lecce 2.55 1.14 +1.41 -0.55
Sun 10/05 Cremonese 0.00 1.16 -1.16 -0.57
Sun 17/05 Napoli 0.80 1.09 -0.29 -0.56
Sat 23/05 Lazio 1.57 1.11 +0.46 -0.54

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.89 npxG and 1.42 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 20 in Serie A
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 38 league matches
Last 5
number 16 hardest of 20 in Serie A
−0.18 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 38 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 20

  1. Lazio Away −0.03
  2. Napoli Home +0.25
  3. Cremonese Away −0.37
  4. Lecce Home −0.34
  5. Parma Away −0.39
  6. Genoa Home −0.14
  7. Roma Away +0.39
  8. Torino Home −0.26
  9. Como Away +0.62
  10. Cagliari Home −0.07
  11. Juventus Away +0.65
  12. Bologna Home +0.05
  13. Fiorentina Away −0.13
  14. Milan Home +0.03
  15. Hellas Verona Away −0.30
  16. Sassuolo Home −0.23
  17. Inter Away +0.50
  18. Atalanta Home +0.29
  19. Udinese Away −0.21
  20. Como Home +0.62
  21. Genoa Away −0.14
  22. Juventus Home +0.65
  23. Cagliari Away −0.07
  24. Lecce Away −0.34
  25. Parma Home −0.39
  26. Inter Home +0.50
  27. Sassuolo Away −0.23
  28. Cremonese Home −0.37
  29. Torino Away −0.26
  30. Lazio Home −0.03
  31. Milan Away +0.03
  32. Hellas Verona Home −0.30
  33. Bologna Away +0.05
  34. Fiorentina Home −0.13
  35. Napoli Away +0.25
  36. Udinese Home −0.21
  37. Roma Home +0.39
  38. Atalanta Away +0.29

Last 5

−0.18 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 16 hardest of 20

  1. Lazio Away −0.03
  2. Napoli Home +0.25
  3. Cremonese Away −0.37
  4. Lecce Home −0.34
  5. Parma Away −0.39

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Pisa shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Pisa take 9.6 shots a match (league 12.3) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #19 in Serie A for volume and #12 for quality. 74% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 25% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.6 shots per match
#19/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Inter 17.1
#2 Juventus 16.8
#3 Atalanta 14.8
#4 Como 14.4
=5 Milan 13.2
=5 Roma 13.2
#7 Napoli 13.2
=8 Bologna 12.9
=8 Fiorentina 12.9
#10 Torino 11.8
#11 Udinese 11.5
#12 Genoa 11.4
#13 Hellas Verona 11.1
#14 Lazio 11.0
#15 Cagliari 10.9
#16 Parma 10.7
#17 Sassuolo 10.7
#18 Lecce 9.8
#19 Pisa 9.6
#20 Cremonese 9.1
League avg
12.3
Total
364 shots from 38 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Milan 0.10
#2 Inter 0.10
#3 Como 0.10
#4 Juventus 0.10
#5 Fiorentina 0.10
#6 Atalanta 0.10
#7 Roma 0.10
#8 Sassuolo 0.10
#9 Lazio 0.10
#10 Napoli 0.10
#11 Cremonese 0.09
#12 Pisa 0.09
#13 Genoa 0.09
#14 Cagliari 0.09
#15 Udinese 0.09
#16 Torino 0.09
#17 Bologna 0.08
#18 Lecce 0.08
#19 Hellas Verona 0.08
#20 Parma 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
33.65 npxG from 364 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.4 shots per match
=18/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Como 9.0
#2 Inter 9.1
#3 Roma 9.7
#4 Bologna 10.2
=5 Juventus 10.2
=5 Napoli 10.2
#7 Milan 11.5
#8 Atalanta 11.8
#9 Lecce 12.7
#10 Genoa 12.8
#11 Cagliari 12.9
#12 Udinese 13.2
#13 Lazio 13.3
#14 Fiorentina 13.5
#15 Hellas Verona 13.6
#16 Torino 13.8
#17 Parma 14.2
=18 Pisa 14.4
=18 Sassuolo 14.4
#20 Cremonese 15.6
League avg
12.3
Total
548 shots allowed from 38 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#16/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Napoli 0.08
#2 Juventus 0.08
#3 Lazio 0.09
#4 Milan 0.09
#5 Como 0.09
#6 Atalanta 0.09
#7 Fiorentina 0.09
#8 Cremonese 0.09
#9 Sassuolo 0.09
#10 Inter 0.09
#11 Genoa 0.09
#12 Hellas Verona 0.09
#13 Udinese 0.10
#14 Parma 0.10
#15 Torino 0.10
#16 Pisa 0.10
#17 Roma 0.10
#18 Lecce 0.11
#19 Cagliari 0.11
#20 Bologna 0.11
League avg
0.09
Total
53.98 npxGA from 548 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

74% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 270 of 364 shots over 38 matches

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 365 of 548 shots allowed over 38 matches

Where the npxG comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 8.5 of 33.5 npxG over 38 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 13.4 of 54.0 npxG allowed over 38 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Pisa home and away xG

Pisa per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 19 19
xG / match 1.01 1.02
xGA / match 1.30 1.78
xGD / match -0.29 -0.76
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.12 1.02

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Pisa match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
38
xG / match
1.02
xGA / match
1.54
xGD / match
-0.52
Points
18 of 114
  1. Sat 23/05 Lazio A xG 1.56 xGA 1.11 xGD +0.45
  2. Sun 17/05 Napoli H xG 0.82 xGA 1.09 xGD -0.27
  3. Sun 10/05 Cremonese A xG 0.00 xGA 1.32 xGD -1.32
  4. Fri 01/05 Lecce H Against the chances xG 2.23 xGA 0.88 xGD +1.35
  5. Sat 25/04 Parma A xG 1.71 xGA 1.64 xGD +0.07
  6. Sun 19/04 Genoa H xG 1.13 xGA 1.65 P xGD -0.52
  7. Fri 10/04 Roma A xG 1.26 xGA 1.53 xGD -0.27
  8. Sun 05/04 Torino H xG 0.32 xGA 1.84 xGD -1.52
  9. Sun 22/03 Como A xG 0.41 xGA 1.49 xGD -1.08
  10. Sun 15/03 Cagliari H xG 2.47 P xGA 1.31 xGD +1.16
  11. Sat 07/03 Juventus A xG 0.45 xGA 2.67 xGD -2.22
  12. Mon 02/03 Bologna H xG 0.46 xGA 0.61 xGD -0.15
  13. Mon 23/02 Fiorentina A xG 0.28 xGA 1.84 xGD -1.56
  14. Fri 13/02 Milan H xG 0.77 xGA 2.35 P xGD -1.58
  15. Fri 06/02 Hellas Verona A xG 0.82 xGA 0.06 xGD +0.76
  16. Sat 31/01 Sassuolo H xG 0.79 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.84
  17. Fri 23/01 Inter A Weakest underlying xG 0.34 xGA 4.99 P xGD -4.65
  18. Fri 16/01 Atalanta H xG 1.19 xGA 1.15 xGD +0.04
  19. Sat 10/01 Udinese A xG 1.48 xGA 2.23 P xGD -0.75
  20. Tue 06/01 Como H xG 1.56 P xGA 1.73 P xGD -0.17
  21. Sat 03/01 Genoa A xG 0.62 xGA 0.54 xGD +0.08
  22. Sat 27/12 Juventus H xG 0.65 xGA 1.74 xGD -1.09
  23. Sun 21/12 Cagliari A xG 2.54 P xGA 1.43 xGD +1.11
  24. Fri 12/12 Lecce A xG 0.22 xGA 2.20 xGD -1.98
  25. Mon 08/12 Parma H xG 1.52 xGA 1.18 P xGD +0.34
  26. Sun 30/11 Inter H xG 1.03 xGA 2.00 xGD -0.97
  27. Mon 24/11 Sassuolo A xG 1.54 P xGA 1.76 xGD -0.22
  28. Fri 07/11 Cremonese H xG 0.81 xGA 0.80 xGD +0.01
  29. Sun 02/11 Torino A xG 1.53 P xGA 0.91 xGD +0.62
  30. Thu 30/10 Lazio H xG 0.93 xGA 0.48 xGD +0.45
  31. Fri 24/10 Milan A xG 1.42 P xGA 1.54 xGD -0.12
  32. Sat 18/10 Hellas Verona H xG 0.65 xGA 1.54 xGD -0.89
  33. Sun 05/10 Bologna A xG 0.04 xGA 3.62 xGD -3.58
  34. Sun 28/09 Fiorentina H xG 0.80 xGA 0.89 xGD -0.09
  35. Mon 22/09 Napoli A Against the chances xG 2.61 P xGA 1.08 xGD +1.53
  36. Sun 14/09 Udinese H xG 0.53 xGA 1.00 xGD -0.47
  37. Sat 30/08 Roma H xG 0.56 xGA 0.78 xGD -0.22
  38. Sun 24/08 Atalanta A xG 0.63 xGA 1.92 xGD -1.29

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.99. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Pisa in Serie A

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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