HNL odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
18+. Betting costs money over time; stake only what losing would not matter. If it has stopped being a choice, help is at [help service not yet named].
Every HNL qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb – NK Lokomotiva Zagreb GNK Dinamo Zagreb not to score | Model prob. 9.5% | Price 13.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb – NK Lokomotiva Zagreb GNK Dinamo Zagreb at most 1 goal | Model prob. 33.6% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| HNK Rijeka – HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split not to score | Model prob. 41.7% | Price 2.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.75u |
| HNK Rijeka – HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split at most 1 goal | Model prob. 81.6% | Price 1.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.40u |
| NK Istra 1961 – HNK Gorica NK Istra 1961 not to score | Model prob. 24.5% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +4.00u |
| NK Istra 1961 – HNK Gorica NK Istra 1961 at most 1 goal | Model prob. 61.8% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.83u |
| HNK Gorica – NK Varaždin NK Varaždin not to score | Model prob. 33.0% | Price 4.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| HNK Gorica – NK Varaždin NK Varaždin at most 1 goal | Model prob. 72.6% | Price 1.67 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| HNK Hajduk Split – NK Slaven Belupo HNK Hajduk Split at most 1 goal | Model prob. 37.0% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.75u |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka not to score | Model prob. 20.4% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb – HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka at most 1 goal | Model prob. 55.5% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| NK Osijek – GNK Dinamo Zagreb NK Osijek to score | Model prob. 69.4% | Price 1.67 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.67u |
| NK Osijek – GNK Dinamo Zagreb NK Osijek 2+ goals | Model prob. 30.0% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +3.33u |
| NK Slaven Belupo – NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Slaven Belupo to win | Model prob. 44.2% | Price 2.45 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.45u |
| HNK Gorica – HNK Rijeka HNK Gorica to win | Model prob. 21.5% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| HNK Gorica – HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka not to score | Model prob. 25.0% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +4.50u |
| HNK Gorica – HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka at most 1 goal | Model prob. 62.8% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.00u |
| HNK Hajduk Split – NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNK Hajduk Split at most 1 goal | Model prob. 42.1% | Price 2.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| NK Istra 1961 – GNK Dinamo Zagreb NK Istra 1961 to win | Model prob. 18.6% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| NK Istra 1961 – GNK Dinamo Zagreb GNK Dinamo Zagreb not to score | Model prob. 17.4% | Price 8.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| NK Istra 1961 – GNK Dinamo Zagreb GNK Dinamo Zagreb at most 1 goal | Model prob. 50.4% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →