Parva Liga (Bulgaria) odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Parva Liga (Bulgaria) qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – CSKA Sofia Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score | Model prob. 61.4% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.83u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – CSKA Sofia Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2+ goals | Model prob. 21.5% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia at most 1 goal | Model prob. 68.2% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.00u |
| FK Spartak Varna – Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia to win | Model prob. 42.9% | Price 2.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.50u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna to win | Model prob. 21.4% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Slavia Sofia – FC CSKA 1948 Sofia FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 2+ goals | Model prob. 55.3% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Sofia – CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia not to score | Model prob. 15.2% | Price 7.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Sofia – CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia at most 1 goal | Model prob. 46.2% | Price 2.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Ludogorets – FK Septemvri Sofia FK Septemvri Sofia to score | Model prob. 51.5% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| Botev Plovdiv – Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win | Model prob. 22.5% | Price 4.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Botev Plovdiv – Lokomotiv Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv not to score | Model prob. 23.3% | Price 4.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Botev Plovdiv – Lokomotiv Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv at most 1 goal | Model prob. 60.2% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Botev Vratsa – Levski Sofia Botev Vratsa to win | Model prob. 16.4% | Price 6.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Botev Vratsa – Levski Sofia Levski Sofia not to score | Model prob. 21.3% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +4.50u |
| Botev Vratsa – Levski Sofia Levski Sofia at most 1 goal | Model prob. 56.9% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.10u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Spartak Varna FK Spartak Varna to win | Model prob. 31.8% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Spartak Varna FK Spartak Varna to score | Model prob. 75.2% | Price 1.53 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Spartak Varna FK Spartak Varna 2+ goals | Model prob. 37.8% | Price 3.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| CSKA Sofia – Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali to win | Model prob. 23.8% | Price 4.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| CSKA Sofia – Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali to score | Model prob. 65.3% | Price 1.67 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.67u |
| CSKA Sofia – Arda Kardzhali CSKA Sofia at most 1 goal | Model prob. 59.4% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| CSKA Sofia – Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2+ goals | Model prob. 25.1% | Price 4.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Cherno More Varna – Lokomotiv Sofia Cherno More Varna at most 1 goal | Model prob. 59.7% | Price 1.80 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Sofia – Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sofia to win | Model prob. 19.6% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Paddy Power | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Cherno More Varna Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win | Model prob. 45.6% | Price 2.70 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.70u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv to win | Model prob. 31.0% | Price 3.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.50u |
| Slavia Sofia – Levski Sofia Levski Sofia at most 1 goal | Model prob. 44.3% | Price 2.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa to win | Model prob. 18.4% | Price 7.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Vratsa Arda Kardzhali not to score | Model prob. 22.7% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa to score | Model prob. 57.3% | Price 1.91 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Vratsa Arda Kardzhali at most 1 goal | Model prob. 59.4% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 2+ goals | Model prob. 17.7% | Price 6.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Arda Kardzhali – Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa to win | Model prob. 18.3% | Price 7.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Void | Return 0.00u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Septemvri Sofia FK Septemvri Sofia to win | Model prob. 34.4% | Price 3.70 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Septemvri Sofia Slavia Sofia not to score | Model prob. 33.0% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Septemvri Sofia FK Septemvri Sofia to score | Model prob. 69.4% | Price 1.53 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.53u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Septemvri Sofia Slavia Sofia at most 1 goal | Model prob. 72.7% | Price 1.62 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.62u |
| Slavia Sofia – FK Septemvri Sofia FK Septemvri Sofia 2+ goals | Model prob. 29.9% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win | Model prob. 36.0% | Price 3.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Plovdiv to score | Model prob. 68.8% | Price 1.57 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali not to score | Model prob. 36.2% | Price 3.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2+ goals | Model prob. 29.2% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali at most 1 goal | Model prob. 76.3% | Price 1.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.40u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →