xgEdge

Expected goals

Cremonese expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Serie A · after 38 matches · updated 1 Oct

Cremonese's attacking and defensive expected goals in Serie A 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Cremonese xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.93 xG per match
#18/20
Attack (xG per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Inter 1.88
#2 Juventus 1.78
#3 Como 1.63
#4 Milan 1.55
#5 Atalanta 1.52
#6 Roma 1.45
#7 Fiorentina 1.40
#8 Napoli 1.36
#9 Torino 1.19
#10 Genoa 1.19
#11 Bologna 1.15
#12 Udinese 1.12
#13 Sassuolo 1.11
#14 Lazio 1.10
#15 Pisa 1.02
#16 Cagliari 1.00
#17 Hellas Verona 0.95
#18 Cremonese 0.93
#19 Parma 0.84
#20 Lecce 0.82
League avg
1.25
Total
35.42 38 matches
Defence
1.52 xGA per match
#19/20
Defence (xGA per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Juventus 0.86
#2 Como 0.89
#3 Inter 0.89
#4 Napoli 0.97
#5 Roma 1.04
#6 Atalanta 1.12
#7 Milan 1.17
#8 Bologna 1.20
#9 Lazio 1.23
#10 Genoa 1.28
#11 Hellas Verona 1.32
#12 Fiorentina 1.33
#13 Udinese 1.38
#14 Cagliari 1.41
#15 Torino 1.42
#16 Sassuolo 1.46
#17 Lecce 1.47
#18 Parma 1.47
#19 Cremonese 1.52
#20 Pisa 1.54
League avg
1.25
Total
57.83 38 matches
xG difference
-0.59 xGD per match
#18/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter +0.98
#2 Juventus +0.93
#3 Como +0.74
#4 Roma +0.41
#5 Atalanta +0.40
#6 Napoli +0.39
#7 Milan +0.38
#8 Fiorentina +0.07
#9 Bologna -0.05
#10 Genoa -0.10
#11 Lazio -0.13
#12 Torino -0.23
#13 Udinese -0.27
#14 Sassuolo -0.35
#15 Hellas Verona -0.37
#16 Cagliari -0.41
#17 Pisa -0.52
#18 Cremonese -0.59
#19 Parma -0.64
#20 Lecce -0.65
League avg
0.00
Total
-22.41 38 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.01 xPts per match
#18/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter 2.03
#2 Juventus 1.96
#3 Como 1.83
#4 Roma 1.68
#5 Atalanta 1.68
#6 Napoli 1.65
#7 Milan 1.65
#8 Fiorentina 1.41
#9 Bologna 1.34
#10 Genoa 1.26
#11 Lazio 1.21
#12 Udinese 1.21
#13 Torino 1.20
#14 Sassuolo 1.16
#15 Hellas Verona 1.11
#16 Cagliari 1.09
#17 Pisa 1.07
#18 Cremonese 1.01
#19 Parma 0.98
#20 Lecce 0.94
League avg
1.37
Total
38.32 vs 34 actual pts

What the xG says

Cremonese's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Serie A. They rank #18 for xG difference at -0.59 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 32 goals are 3.42 below 35.42 xG, while 34 points are 4.32 below 38.32 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.84 xG from penalties
32 35.42 -3.42 scored 3.42 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
57 57.83 -0.83 conceded 0.83 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
34 38.32 -4.32 4.32 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Cremonese are 3.42 goals below their xG after 38 matches. The gap was widest at -6.04, against Napoli on Fri 24/04.

Goals
32
xG
35.42
Gap
-3.42
Sat 23/08 Fri 29/08 Mon 15/09 Sun 21/09 Sat 27/09 Sat 04/10 Mon 20/10 Sat 25/10 Wed 29/10 Sat 01/11 Fri 07/11 Sun 23/11 Mon 01/12 Sun 07/12 Sat 13/12 Sat 20/12 Sun 28/12 Sun 04/01 Thu 08/01 Mon 12/01 Mon 19/01 Sun 25/01 Sun 01/02 Mon 09/02 Sun 15/02 Sun 22/02 Sun 01/03 Sun 08/03 Mon 16/03 Sat 21/03 Sun 05/04 Sat 11/04 Sun 19/04 Fri 24/04 Mon 04/05 Sun 10/05 Sun 17/05 Sun 24/05 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +3 +1.79 +1.47 +1.23 +1.11 +1.66 +2.02 +1.95 +1.83 +2.44 +2.90 +2.10 +2.21 +3.08 +3.00 +2.31 +1.62 +1.16 +0.43 +0.62 -0.28 -1.01 -1.66 -2.26 -1.88 -4.24 -4.31 -5.30 -5.26 -5.70 -4.42 -4.84 -5.12 -5.76 -6.04 -5.59 -3.91 -3.36 -3.42 +1.79 -0.32 -0.24 -0.12 +0.55 +0.36 -0.07 -0.12 +0.61 +0.46 -0.80 +0.11 +0.87 -0.08 -0.69 -0.69 -0.46 -0.73 +0.19 -0.90 -0.73 -0.65 -0.60 +0.38 -2.36 -0.07 -0.99 +0.04 -0.44 +1.28 -0.42 -0.28 -0.64 -0.28 +0.45 +1.68 +0.55 -0.06 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Cremonese: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 23/08 Milan 2 0.21 +1.79 +1.79
Fri 29/08 Sassuolo 3 3.32 -0.32 +1.47
Mon 15/09 Hellas Verona 0 0.24 -0.24 +1.23
Sun 21/09 Parma 0 0.12 -0.12 +1.11
Sat 27/09 Como 1 0.45 +0.55 +1.66
Sat 04/10 Inter 1 0.64 +0.36 +2.02
Mon 20/10 Udinese 1 1.07 -0.07 +1.95
Sat 25/10 Atalanta 1 1.12 -0.12 +1.83
Wed 29/10 Genoa 2 1.39 +0.61 +2.44
Sat 01/11 Juventus 1 0.54 +0.46 +2.90
Fri 07/11 Pisa 0 0.80 -0.80 +2.10
Sun 23/11 Roma 1 0.89 +0.11 +2.21
Mon 01/12 Bologna 3 2.13 +0.87 +3.08
Sun 07/12 Lecce 2 2.08 -0.08 +3.00
Sat 13/12 Torino 0 0.69 -0.69 +2.31
Sat 20/12 Lazio 0 0.69 -0.69 +1.62
Sun 28/12 Napoli 0 0.46 -0.46 +1.16
Sun 04/01 Fiorentina 0 0.73 -0.73 +0.43
Thu 08/01 Cagliari 2 1.81 +0.19 +0.62
Mon 12/01 Juventus 0 0.90 -0.90 -0.28
Mon 19/01 Hellas Verona 0 0.73 -0.73 -1.01
Sun 25/01 Sassuolo 0 0.65 -0.65 -1.66
Sun 01/02 Inter 0 0.60 -0.60 -2.26
Mon 09/02 Atalanta 1 0.62 +0.38 -1.88
Sun 15/02 Genoa 0 2.36 -2.36 -4.24
Sun 22/02 Roma 0 0.07 -0.07 -4.31
Sun 01/03 Milan 0 0.99 -0.99 -5.30
Sun 08/03 Lecce 1 0.96 +0.04 -5.26
Mon 16/03 Fiorentina 1 1.44 -0.44 -5.70
Sat 21/03 Parma 2 0.72 +1.28 -4.42
Sun 05/04 Bologna 1 1.42 -0.42 -4.84
Sat 11/04 Cagliari 0 0.28 -0.28 -5.12
Sun 19/04 Torino 0 0.64 -0.64 -5.76
Fri 24/04 Napoli 0 0.28 -0.28 -6.04
Mon 04/05 Lazio 1 0.55 +0.45 -5.59
Sun 10/05 Pisa 3 1.32 +1.68 -3.91
Sun 17/05 Udinese 1 0.45 +0.55 -3.36
Sun 24/05 Como 1 1.06 -0.06 -3.42

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Cremonese xG trend

Current form -0.28 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 38 matches. The worst was against Inter on Sat 04/10 (-2.93).

npxG · last 6
0.59
npxGA · last 6
0.87
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.73 Sat 23/08 +1.99 Fri 29/08 -1.22 Mon 15/09 -0.73 Sun 21/09 -0.91 Sat 27/09 -2.93 Sat 04/10 +0.39 Mon 20/10 +0.00 Sat 25/10 +0.00 Wed 29/10 -1.42 Sat 01/11 -0.01 Fri 07/11 -0.98 Sun 23/11 +0.20 Mon 01/12 +0.37 Sun 07/12 -0.36 Sat 13/12 +0.24 Sat 20/12 -2.11 Sun 28/12 -1.36 Sun 04/01 +0.11 Thu 08/01 -2.09 Mon 12/01 +0.23 Mon 19/01 -0.46 Sun 25/01 -0.74 Sun 01/02 -1.49 Mon 09/02 +1.16 Sun 15/02 -1.96 Sun 22/02 -2.52 Sun 01/03 +0.17 Sun 08/03 -0.35 Mon 16/03 +0.37 Sat 21/03 -0.49 Sun 05/04 -0.74 Sat 11/04 +0.61 Sun 19/04 -1.90 Fri 24/04 -0.40 Mon 04/05 +1.16 Sun 10/05 +0.20 Sun 17/05 -1.34 Sun 24/05 -0.55 season avg
Cremonese: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 23/08 Milan 0.21 1.94 -1.73 -1.73
Fri 29/08 Sassuolo 2.53 0.54 +1.99 +0.13
Mon 15/09 Hellas Verona 0.24 1.46 -1.22 -0.32
Sun 21/09 Parma 0.11 0.84 -0.73 -0.42
Sat 27/09 Como 0.39 1.30 -0.91 -0.52
Sat 04/10 Inter 0.64 3.57 -2.93 -0.92
Mon 20/10 Udinese 1.07 0.68 +0.39 -0.73
Sat 25/10 Atalanta 1.15 1.15 +0.00 -0.64
Wed 29/10 Genoa 1.31 1.31 +0.00 -0.57
Sat 01/11 Juventus 0.54 1.96 -1.42 -0.66
Fri 07/11 Pisa 0.80 0.81 -0.01 -0.60
Sun 23/11 Roma 0.92 1.90 -0.98 -0.63
Mon 01/12 Bologna 2.13 1.93 +0.20 -0.57
Sun 07/12 Lecce 1.29 0.92 +0.37 -0.50
Sat 13/12 Torino 0.69 1.05 -0.36 -0.49
Sat 20/12 Lazio 0.69 0.45 +0.24 -0.44
Sun 28/12 Napoli 0.46 2.57 -2.11 -0.54
Sun 04/01 Fiorentina 0.73 2.09 -1.36 -0.59
Thu 08/01 Cagliari 1.81 1.70 +0.11 -0.55
Mon 12/01 Juventus 1.21 3.30 -2.09 -0.63
Mon 19/01 Hellas Verona 0.73 0.50 +0.23 -0.59
Sun 25/01 Sassuolo 0.66 1.12 -0.46 -0.58
Sun 01/02 Inter 0.60 1.34 -0.74 -0.59
Mon 09/02 Atalanta 0.62 2.11 -1.49 -0.63
Sun 15/02 Genoa 2.41 1.25 +1.16 -0.55
Sun 22/02 Roma 0.07 2.03 -1.96 -0.61
Sun 01/03 Milan 0.99 3.51 -2.52 -0.68
Sun 08/03 Lecce 0.98 0.81 +0.17 -0.65
Mon 16/03 Fiorentina 1.44 1.79 -0.35 -0.64
Sat 21/03 Parma 0.72 0.35 +0.37 -0.60
Sun 05/04 Bologna 0.62 1.11 -0.49 -0.60
Sat 11/04 Cagliari 0.28 1.02 -0.74 -0.61
Sun 19/04 Torino 0.77 0.16 +0.61 -0.57
Fri 24/04 Napoli 0.27 2.17 -1.90 -0.61
Mon 04/05 Lazio 0.56 0.96 -0.40 -0.60
Sun 10/05 Pisa 1.16 0.00 +1.16 -0.55
Sun 17/05 Udinese 0.51 0.31 +0.20 -0.53
Sun 24/05 Como 0.27 1.61 -1.34 -0.55

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.86 npxG and 1.41 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 20 in Serie A
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 38 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 20 in Serie A
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 38 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 20

  1. Como Home +0.62
  2. Udinese Away −0.21
  3. Pisa Home −0.32
  4. Lazio Home −0.03
  5. Napoli Away +0.25
  6. Torino Home −0.26
  7. Cagliari Away −0.07
  8. Bologna Home +0.05
  9. Parma Away −0.39
  10. Fiorentina Home −0.13
  11. Lecce Away −0.34
  12. Milan Home +0.03
  13. Roma Away +0.39
  14. Genoa Home −0.14
  15. Atalanta Away +0.29
  16. Inter Home +0.50
  17. Sassuolo Away −0.23
  18. Hellas Verona Home −0.30
  19. Juventus Away +0.65
  20. Cagliari Home −0.07
  21. Fiorentina Away −0.13
  22. Napoli Home +0.25
  23. Lazio Away −0.03
  24. Torino Away −0.26
  25. Lecce Home −0.34
  26. Bologna Away +0.05
  27. Roma Home +0.39
  28. Pisa Away −0.32
  29. Juventus Home +0.65
  30. Genoa Away −0.14
  31. Atalanta Home +0.29
  32. Udinese Home −0.21
  33. Inter Away +0.50
  34. Como Away +0.62
  35. Parma Home −0.39
  36. Hellas Verona Away −0.30
  37. Sassuolo Home −0.23
  38. Milan Away +0.03

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 20

  1. Como Home +0.62
  2. Udinese Away −0.21
  3. Pisa Home −0.32
  4. Lazio Home −0.03
  5. Napoli Away +0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Cremonese shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Cremonese take 9.1 shots a match (league 12.3) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #20 in Serie A for volume and #11 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 28% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.1 shots per match
#20/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Inter 17.1
#2 Juventus 16.8
#3 Atalanta 14.8
#4 Como 14.4
=5 Milan 13.2
=5 Roma 13.2
#7 Napoli 13.2
=8 Bologna 12.9
=8 Fiorentina 12.9
#10 Torino 11.8
#11 Udinese 11.5
#12 Genoa 11.4
#13 Hellas Verona 11.1
#14 Lazio 11.0
#15 Cagliari 10.9
#16 Parma 10.7
#17 Sassuolo 10.7
#18 Lecce 9.8
#19 Pisa 9.6
#20 Cremonese 9.1
League avg
12.3
Total
346 shots from 38 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#11/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Milan 0.10
#2 Inter 0.10
#3 Como 0.10
#4 Juventus 0.10
#5 Fiorentina 0.10
#6 Atalanta 0.10
#7 Roma 0.10
#8 Sassuolo 0.10
#9 Lazio 0.10
#10 Napoli 0.10
#11 Cremonese 0.09
#12 Pisa 0.09
#13 Genoa 0.09
#14 Cagliari 0.09
#15 Udinese 0.09
#16 Torino 0.09
#17 Bologna 0.08
#18 Lecce 0.08
#19 Hellas Verona 0.08
#20 Parma 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
32.58 npxG from 346 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.6 shots per match
#20/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Como 9.0
#2 Inter 9.1
#3 Roma 9.7
#4 Bologna 10.2
=5 Juventus 10.2
=5 Napoli 10.2
#7 Milan 11.5
#8 Atalanta 11.8
#9 Lecce 12.7
#10 Genoa 12.8
#11 Cagliari 12.9
#12 Udinese 13.2
#13 Lazio 13.3
#14 Fiorentina 13.5
#15 Hellas Verona 13.6
#16 Torino 13.8
#17 Parma 14.2
=18 Pisa 14.4
=18 Sassuolo 14.4
#20 Cremonese 15.6
League avg
12.3
Total
593 shots allowed from 38 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#8/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Serie A, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Napoli 0.08
#2 Juventus 0.08
#3 Lazio 0.09
#4 Milan 0.09
#5 Como 0.09
#6 Atalanta 0.09
#7 Fiorentina 0.09
#8 Cremonese 0.09
#9 Sassuolo 0.09
#10 Inter 0.09
#11 Genoa 0.09
#12 Hellas Verona 0.09
#13 Udinese 0.10
#14 Parma 0.10
#15 Torino 0.10
#16 Pisa 0.10
#17 Roma 0.10
#18 Lecce 0.11
#19 Cagliari 0.11
#20 Bologna 0.11
League avg
0.09
Total
53.62 npxGA from 593 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

60% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 209 of 346 shots over 38 matches

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 390 of 593 shots allowed over 38 matches

Where the npxG comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 9.0 of 32.2 npxG over 38 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

76% open play · 24% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 12.9 of 53.8 npxG allowed over 38 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Cremonese home and away xG

Cremonese per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 19 19
xG / match 1.19 0.68
xGA / match 1.37 1.68
xGD / match -0.18 -1.00
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.28 0.74

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Cremonese match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
38
xG / match
0.93
xGA / match
1.52
xGD / match
-0.59
Points
34 of 114
  1. Sun 24/05 Como H xG 1.06 P xGA 2.47 P xGD -1.41
  2. Sun 17/05 Udinese A xG 0.45 xGA 0.35 xGD +0.10
  3. Sun 10/05 Pisa H xG 1.32 xGA 0.00 xGD +1.32
  4. Mon 04/05 Lazio H xG 0.55 xGA 0.80 xGD -0.25
  5. Fri 24/04 Napoli A xG 0.28 xGA 3.16 P xGD -2.88
  6. Sun 19/04 Torino H xG 0.64 xGA 0.14 xGD +0.50
  7. Sat 11/04 Cagliari A xG 0.28 xGA 1.17 xGD -0.89
  8. Sun 05/04 Bologna H xG 1.42 P xGA 1.11 xGD +0.31
  9. Sat 21/03 Parma A xG 0.72 xGA 0.34 xGD +0.38
  10. Mon 16/03 Fiorentina H xG 1.44 xGA 1.79 xGD -0.35
  11. Sun 08/03 Lecce A xG 0.96 xGA 1.60 P xGD -0.64
  12. Sun 01/03 Milan H xG 0.99 xGA 3.51 xGD -2.52
  13. Sun 22/02 Roma A xG 0.07 xGA 2.00 xGD -1.93
  14. Sun 15/02 Genoa H xG 2.36 xGA 1.25 xGD +1.11
  15. Mon 09/02 Atalanta A xG 0.62 xGA 2.11 xGD -1.49
  16. Sun 01/02 Inter H xG 0.60 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.74
  17. Sun 25/01 Sassuolo A xG 0.65 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.45
  18. Mon 19/01 Hellas Verona H xG 0.73 xGA 0.51 xGD +0.22
  19. Mon 12/01 Juventus A xG 0.90 xGA 3.40 xGD -2.50
  20. Thu 08/01 Cagliari H xG 1.81 xGA 1.80 xGD +0.01
  21. Sun 04/01 Fiorentina A xG 0.73 xGA 2.06 xGD -1.33
  22. Sun 28/12 Napoli H xG 0.46 xGA 2.54 xGD -2.08
  23. Sat 20/12 Lazio A xG 0.69 xGA 0.41 xGD +0.28
  24. Sat 13/12 Torino A xG 0.69 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.36
  25. Sun 07/12 Lecce H xG 2.08 P xGA 0.92 xGD +1.16
  26. Mon 01/12 Bologna A xG 2.13 xGA 2.72 P xGD -0.59
  27. Sun 23/11 Roma H xG 0.89 xGA 1.90 xGD -1.01
  28. Fri 07/11 Pisa A xG 0.80 xGA 0.81 xGD -0.01
  29. Sat 01/11 Juventus H xG 0.54 xGA 2.03 xGD -1.49
  30. Wed 29/10 Genoa A xG 1.39 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.08
  31. Sat 25/10 Atalanta H xG 1.12 xGA 1.15 xGD -0.03
  32. Mon 20/10 Udinese H xG 1.07 xGA 0.55 xGD +0.52
  33. Sat 04/10 Inter A Weakest underlying xG 0.64 xGA 3.57 xGD -2.93
  34. Sat 27/09 Como A xG 0.45 xGA 1.30 xGD -0.85
  35. Sun 21/09 Parma H xG 0.12 xGA 0.84 xGD -0.72
  36. Mon 15/09 Hellas Verona A xG 0.24 xGA 1.52 xGD -1.28
  37. Fri 29/08 Sassuolo H Best underlying xG 3.32 P xGA 1.32 P xGD +2.00
  38. Sat 23/08 Milan A Against the chances xG 0.21 xGA 1.88 xGD -1.67

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.57. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Cremonese in Serie A

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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