Swiss Super League

Swiss Super League results 2026/2027

Every Swiss Super League match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

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Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 12 of 21 matches (57%). The probabilities implied about 9 (44%). Brier score 0.63 (reference 0.66; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

1 match

14:00

FC Vaduz 1

FC Thun 2

xG 2.77 – 1.70 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

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Wednesday, 16/09/2026

1 match

19:00

FC Thun 2

Servette FC 4

xG 2.05 – 1.52 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
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Saturday, 12/09/2026

1 match

19:00

FC Lugano 2

Young Boys 2

xG 1.51 – 2.32 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
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Saturday, 05/09/2026

2 matches

20:30

Grasshopper Club Zürich 2

FC Zürich 2

xG 4.16 – 0.77 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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18:00

Young Boys 3

FC Luzern 3

xG 3.36 – 2.19 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
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Thursday, 03/09/2026

1 match

20:30

FC Lugano 1

Servette FC 0

xG 1.29 – 1.81 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Wednesday, 02/09/2026

1 match

20:30

FC Thun 0

FC Lausanne-Sport 0

xG 1.58 – 0.86 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 30/08/2026

3 matches

16:30

FC Vaduz 5

Grasshopper Club Zürich 2

xG 2.31 – 2.99 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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16:30

FC St. Gallen 1879 3

FC Thun 4

xG 2.88 – 1.26 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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14:00

FC Sion 1

FC Lugano 2

xG 1.82 – 0.67 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 09/08/2026

1 match

16:30

FC St. Gallen 1879 2

FC Luzern 2

xG 3.24 – 1.51 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 25/07/2026

1 match

20:30

FC Luzern 1

FC Thun 3

xG 2.53 – 1.92 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.