xgEdge

Allsvenskan results 2026/2027

Every Allsvenskan match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

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Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 16 of 25 matches (64%). The probabilities implied about 13 (51%). Brier score 0.55 (reference 0.64; lower is better). How the model works →

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.91 – 2.57 Lower-xG side won
    Pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 19/09/2026

1 match
  • xG 0.71 – 2.82 Lower-xG side won
    Pre-match probabilities
    →

Wednesday, 16/09/2026

1 match
  • xG 3.15 – 2.14 Draw with an xG gap
    Pre-match probabilities
    The outcome the model rated least likely landed
    →

Friday, 11/09/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.70 – 1.02 Draw with an xG gap
    Pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 06/09/2026

1 match
  • xG 0.61 – 4.04 Draw with an xG gap
    Pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 05/09/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.54 – 2.14 Draw with an xG gap
    Pre-match probabilities
    The outcome the model rated least likely landed
    →

Sunday, 30/08/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.91 – 4.26 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 29/08/2026

1 match

Saturday, 22/08/2026

1 match

Sunday, 16/08/2026

2 matches
  • xG 1.35 – 0.22 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • xG 2.26 – 1.49 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 15/08/2026

1 match

Monday, 10/08/2026

2 matches

Sunday, 09/08/2026

1 match

Saturday, 01/08/2026

1 match

Monday, 27/07/2026

1 match
  • xG 2.96 – 0.29 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 26/07/2026

2 matches

Saturday, 11/07/2026

1 match
  • xG 4.78 – 1.28 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 05/07/2026

1 match
  • xG 1.80 – 0.79 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Friday, 03/07/2026

1 match

Sunday, 31/05/2026

2 matches

Sunday, 24/05/2026

1 match
  • xG 2.00 – 1.37 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 17/05/2026

2 matches

Saturday, 16/05/2026

1 match

Friday, 08/05/2026

1 match

Sunday, 03/05/2026

1 match

Saturday, 02/05/2026

1 match

Monday, 27/04/2026

1 match

Saturday, 18/04/2026

2 matches

Friday, 17/04/2026

2 matches

Saturday, 11/04/2026

2 matches

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.