xgEdge

Friday, 11/09/2026

Every match that finished that day, with what the board claimed about it beforehand.

Matches 25
Opportunities 120
Won / lost 53 / 67
Hit rate 44.2%
Kolos Kovalivka – Karpaty Lviv Ukrainian Premier League · 0:2 3 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Both teams to score 1.83 Bet365 58.3% Lost
Draw 3.30 Bet365 31.2% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.00 Bet365 51.3% Won
FC Farul Constanța – UTA Arad SuperLiga (Romania) · 4:2 7 opportunities, 7 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Over 2.5 goals 2.08 Bet365 56.5% Won
FC Farul Constanța 2+ goals 2.38 Bet365 48.4% Won
Both teams to score 1.80 Bet365 63.3% Won
Over 1.5 goals 1.33 Bet365 82.1% Won
FC Farul Constanța to score 1.30 Bet365 81.9% Won
UTA Arad 2+ goals 2.75 Bet365 38.0% Won
UTA Arad to score 1.36 Bet365 75.3% Won
Krylya Sovetov Samara – Rodina Moscow Russian Premier League · 2:1 2 opportunities, 0 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Rodina Moscow to win 4.14 Pinnacle 39.2% Lost
Draw 3.78 Pinnacle 29.7% Lost
Raków Częstochowa – Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa · 2:1 7 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Motor Lublin to win 3.60 Bet365 29.8% Lost
Raków Częstochowa at most 1 goal 2.10 Bet365 50.6% Lost
Draw 3.70 Bet365 28.4% Lost
Raków Częstochowa not to score 6.00 Bet365 17.5% Lost
Both teams to score 1.57 Bet365 65.1% Won
Motor Lublin 2+ goals 2.50 Bet365 40.3% Lost
Motor Lublin to score 1.30 Bet365 77.0% Won
FK Železničar Pančevo – FK Mačva Šabac SuperLiga (Serbia) · 2:0 7 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
FK Mačva Šabac to win 6.50 Bet365 20.5% Lost
FK Mačva Šabac 2+ goals 5.00 Bet365 25.7% Lost
Draw 4.20 Bet365 29.2% Lost
FK Mačva Šabac to score 1.80 Bet365 65.3% Lost
Both teams to score 2.10 Bet365 55.3% Lost
FK Železničar Pančevo at most 1 goal 2.20 Bet365 51.5% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.05 Bet365 51.5% Won
BK Häcken – Mjällby AIF Allsvenskan · 1:1 7 opportunities, 4 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Mjällby AIF 2+ goals 3.25 Bet365 39.1% Lost
Mjällby AIF to win 5.25 Bet365 21.6% Lost
Mjällby AIF to score 1.44 Bet365 76.1% Won
Both teams to score 1.57 Bet365 69.3% Won
Over 2.5 goals 1.53 Bet365 68.1% Lost
Over 1.5 goals 1.17 Bet365 88.6% Won
Draw 4.20 Bet365 24.4% Won
FC København – AC Horsens Superliga (Denmark) · 2:0 no opportunities
AEL Limassol – Nea Salamina Famagusta Cypriot First Division · 2:1 2 opportunities, 0 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Nea Salamina Famagusta to win 3.60 Paddy Power 32.2% Lost
Draw 3.30 Paddy Power 32.4% Lost
Beşiktaş – Erzurumspor FK Süper Lig · 3:0 7 opportunities, 0 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Beşiktaş not to score 10.00 Bet365 16.7% Lost
Draw 5.75 Bet365 27.8% Lost
Beşiktaş at most 1 goal 3.25 Bet365 49.1% Lost
Erzurumspor FK to win 11.00 Bet365 13.8% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.40 Bet365 56.0% Lost
Under 1.5 goals 5.00 Bet365 26.6% Lost
Erzurumspor FK to score 1.80 Bet365 55.7% Lost
SV Ried – Red Bull Salzburg Austrian Bundesliga · 1:1 3 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
SV Ried to win 5.75 Bet365 24.1% Lost
Draw 4.50 Bet365 26.0% Won
Both teams to score 1.53 Bet365 67.7% Won
AZ Alkmaar – Willem II Tilburg Eredivisie · 1:1 9 opportunities, 5 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Willem II Tilburg to win 15.00 Bet365 17.1% Lost
Draw 8.50 Bet365 23.7% Won
AZ Alkmaar at most 1 goal 5.00 Bet365 35.6% Won
Willem II Tilburg 2+ goals 5.50 Bet365 31.7% Lost
AZ Alkmaar not to score 17.00 Bet365 10.3% Lost
Willem II Tilburg to score 1.83 Bet365 70.6% Won
Under 2.5 goals 3.60 Bet365 35.2% Won
Under 1.5 goals 9.00 Bet365 13.2% Lost
Both teams to score 1.75 Bet365 64.7% Won
Cherno More Varna – Lokomotiv Sofia Parva Liga (Bulgaria) · 2:2 6 opportunities, 3 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Draw 3.60 Bet365 31.7% Won
Cherno More Varna at most 1 goal 1.80 Bet365 59.7% Lost
Lokomotiv Sofia to win 3.75 Bet365 28.0% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 1.90 Bet365 54.2% Lost
Lokomotiv Sofia to score 1.44 Bet365 70.2% Won
Lokomotiv Sofia 2+ goals 3.25 Bet365 30.8% Won
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc – FC Dinamo București SuperLiga (Romania) · 1:3 5 opportunities, 3 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Both teams to score 1.91 Bet365 58.3% Won
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc to win 5.75 Bet365 18.3% Lost
Draw 3.75 Bet365 26.9% Lost
Over 1.5 goals 1.25 Bet365 80.7% Won
Over 2.5 goals 1.85 Bet365 54.4% Won
Brinje Grosuplje – NK Nafta Lendava 1903 PrvaLiga (Slovenia) · 1:2 no opportunities
1. FC Union Berlin – FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga · 1:3 5 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
1. FC Union Berlin to win 2.45 Bet365 50.0% Lost
FC Schalke 04 not to score 3.75 Bet365 28.3% Lost
FC Schalke 04 at most 1 goal 1.57 Bet365 67.0% Lost
1. FC Union Berlin 2+ goals 1.91 Bet365 54.1% Lost
1. FC Union Berlin to score 1.18 Bet365 85.0% Won
Wisła Kraków – Jagiellonia Białystok Ekstraklasa · 2:0 4 opportunities, 3 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Jagiellonia Białystok at most 1 goal 1.67 Bet365 66.1% Won
Jagiellonia Białystok not to score 4.00 Bet365 27.5% Won
Wisła Kraków to win 2.20 Bet365 48.6% Won
Draw 3.60 Bet365 27.8% Lost
Galway United – Bohemian FC Premier Division (Ireland) · 2:3 6 opportunities, 5 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Galway United 2+ goals 3.00 Bet365 40.0% Won
Galway United to win 3.90 Bet365 27.8% Lost
Galway United to score 1.40 Bet365 76.8% Won
Both teams to score 1.62 Bet365 66.3% Won
Over 1.5 goals 1.20 Bet365 84.8% Won
Over 2.5 goals 1.67 Bet365 60.8% Won
Venezia – Fiorentina Serie A · 2:4 4 opportunities, 0 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Venezia to win 2.88 Bet365 38.6% Lost
Fiorentina at most 1 goal 1.67 Bet365 62.9% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 2.10 Bet365 48.0% Lost
Fiorentina not to score 4.00 Bet365 25.0% Lost
Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1 · 1:0 7 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Olympique de Marseille to win 3.40 Bet365 34.8% Lost
Draw 4.00 Bet365 27.9% Lost
Olympique de Marseille 2+ goals 2.38 Bet365 46.7% Lost
Stade Rennais not to score 6.00 Bet365 18.0% Lost
Stade Rennais at most 1 goal 2.10 Bet365 51.4% Won
Olympique de Marseille to score 1.29 Bet365 81.0% Lost
Both teams to score 1.50 Bet365 67.9% Lost
Waterford FC – Dundalk FC Premier Division (Ireland) · 1:1 7 opportunities, 4 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Over 2.5 goals 1.67 Bet365 74.7% Lost
Waterford FC 2+ goals 1.91 Bet365 60.1% Lost
Dundalk FC 2+ goals 2.00 Bet365 55.7% Lost
Both teams to score 1.44 Bet365 76.5% Won
Over 1.5 goals 1.20 Bet365 91.8% Won
Waterford FC to score 1.20 Bet365 87.9% Won
Dundalk FC to score 1.22 Bet365 85.8% Won
Shelbourne – Derry City Premier Division (Ireland) · 0:1 2 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Under 2.5 goals 2.00 Bet365 51.3% Won
Both teams to score 1.75 Bet365 57.4% Lost
Drogheda United – Sligo Rovers Premier Division (Ireland) · 2:0 3 opportunities, 1 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Both teams to score 1.95 Bet365 59.9% Lost
Over 2.5 goals 2.00 Bet365 55.2% Lost
Over 1.5 goals 1.29 Paddy Power 81.3% Won
KV Mechelen – RSC Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League · 0:1 5 opportunities, 2 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
RSC Anderlecht not to score 5.50 Bet365 20.9% Lost
Draw 3.70 Bet365 30.7% Lost
RSC Anderlecht at most 1 goal 2.00 Bet365 56.3% Won
Under 2.5 goals 2.15 Bet365 51.3% Won
KV Mechelen to win 3.90 Bet365 26.5% Lost
St. Patrick's Athletic – Shamrock Rovers Premier Division (Ireland) · 2:0 6 opportunities, 4 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Both teams to score 1.80 Bet365 61.4% Lost
St. Patrick's Athletic to win 2.15 Bet365 50.5% Won
St. Patrick's Athletic 2+ goals 2.00 Bet365 53.7% Won
Over 2.5 goals 1.85 Bet365 56.4% Lost
St. Patrick's Athletic to score 1.22 Bet365 84.8% Won
Over 1.5 goals 1.25 Bet365 82.0% Won
Sevilla – Valencia La Liga · 1:0 6 opportunities, 3 won
Outcome Odds Model Status
Draw 3.40 Bet365 34.9% Lost
Sevilla at most 1 goal 1.62 Bet365 68.0% Won
Sevilla not to score 3.75 Bet365 29.1% Lost
Under 2.5 goals 1.62 Bet365 66.9% Won
Under 1.5 goals 3.00 Bet365 35.6% Won
Valencia to win 4.00 Bet365 25.5% Lost

A status is derived from the final score by the same function that priced the outcome, only backwards — so it cannot disagree with what the board claimed. A postponed or cancelled match has no winner; its opportunities are voided and do not count towards the hit rate.