Saturday, 07/11/2026 at 15:30
31d 22h to kick-offŠK Slovan Bratislava – AS Trenčín
Model updated 6 October, 15:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava
- 67%
- Draw
- 20%
- AS Trenčín
- 13%
| ŠK Slovan Bratislava | Draw | AS Trenčín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.49 | 5.10 | 7.50 |
- Total goals
- 3.70
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Both teams to score
- 68%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans ŠK Slovan Bratislava
67% ŠK Slovan Bratislava to win
- Attack
- 2nd vs 12th
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava attack v AS Trenčín defence
- Defence
- 2nd vs 7th
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava defence v AS Trenčín attack
- Recent xG form
- +1.25 vs -0.26
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 2.52 – 1.18
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava v AS Trenčín
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | ŠK Slovan Bratislava | AS Trenčín |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 2.40 · 2nd | 1.72 · 6th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.12 · 2nd | 2.23 · 11th |
| xGD / match | (better) +1.28 · 2nd | -0.50 · 7th |
| xPts / match | (better) 2.08 · 2nd | 1.09 · 9th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +1.25 | -0.26 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 28% of the model's distribution.
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava clean sheet
- 28%
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2+ goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- Both teams to score: no
- 32%
Most likely scorelines
- 2:1
- 10.4%
- 3:1
- 9.1%
- 1:1
- 8.4%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- ŠK Slovan Bratislava sample
- 20 matches
- AS Trenčín sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · ŠK Slovan Bratislava
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · AS Trenčín
- 3 matches
- Computed
- Tuesday, 06/10/2026 at 15:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.