Parva Liga (Bulgaria)

Parva Liga (Bulgaria) results 2026/2027

Every Parva Liga (Bulgaria) match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

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Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 11 of 21 matches (52%). The probabilities implied about 10 (47%). Brier score 0.56 (reference 0.69; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Saturday, 12/09/2026

2 matches

20:15

CSKA Sofia 4

Arda Kardzhali 1

xG 3.10 – 0.87 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
18:00

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 2

FK Dunav Ruse 1

xG 2.62 – 0.88 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

1 match

20:15

Lokomotiv Sofia 1

Ludogorets 2

xG 0.75 – 3.62 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Wednesday, 02/09/2026

1 match

19:00

Slavia Sofia 1

Levski Sofia 2

xG 0.32 – 2.34 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 22/08/2026

1 match

20:15

Levski Sofia 6

FK Spartak Varna 0

xG 3.70 – 0.00 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 15/08/2026

1 match

20:15

Ludogorets 2

Botev Plovdiv 0

xG 2.58 – 0.81 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 09/08/2026

1 match

18:00

Cherno More Varna 2

Ludogorets 3

xG 0.68 – 1.50 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 08/08/2026

2 matches

20:15

FK Dunav Ruse 0

Arda Kardzhali 2

xG 1.20 – 2.59 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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18:00

Lokomotiv Sofia 1

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 3

xG 1.64 – 2.54 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 02/08/2026

2 matches

20:15

CSKA Sofia 2

FK Dunav Ruse 1

xG 1.81 – 0.34 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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18:00

Ludogorets 2

Botev Vratsa 1

xG 3.72 – 1.17 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 01/08/2026

2 matches

20:15

Botev Plovdiv 1

Cherno More Varna 0

xG 2.29 – 0.25 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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18:00

Levski Sofia 3

FK Septemvri Sofia 0

xG 2.38 – 0.12 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Monday, 27/07/2026

1 match

18:00

FK Dunav Ruse 0

Ludogorets 2

xG 0.81 – 2.12 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 25/07/2026

1 match

20:15

Lokomotiv Sofia 1

Levski Sofia 2

xG 0.53 – 2.43 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Friday, 24/07/2026

1 match

20:15

Arda Kardzhali 1

Slavia Sofia 0

xG 2.57 – 0.00 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
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Friday, 17/07/2026

1 match

20:15

Levski Sofia 2

FK Dunav Ruse 1

xG 2.59 – 1.13 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.