Premier Division (Ireland) odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Premier Division (Ireland) qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk FC – Bohemian FC Dundalk FC to win | Model prob. 32.3% | Price 3.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Pending | Return — |
| Galway United – Shelbourne Shelbourne 2+ goals | Model prob. 50.5% | Price 2.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Pending | Return — |
| Sligo Rovers – St. Patrick's Athletic Sligo Rovers to win | Model prob. 15.8% | Price 8.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Dundalk FC – St. Patrick's Athletic Dundalk FC to win | Model prob. 37.1% | Price 3.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Sligo Rovers – Galway United Sligo Rovers to win | Model prob. 37.6% | Price 3.10 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Dundalk FC – St. Patrick's Athletic Dundalk FC to score | Model prob. 82.5% | Price 1.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Dundalk FC – St. Patrick's Athletic Dundalk FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 49.4% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Waterford FC – Derry City Waterford FC to score | Model prob. 82.0% | Price 1.29 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.29u |
| Waterford FC – Derry City Waterford FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 48.3% | Price 2.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.25u |
| Sligo Rovers – Galway United Sligo Rovers to score | Model prob. 82.8% | Price 1.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.33u |
| Sligo Rovers – Galway United Sligo Rovers 2+ goals | Model prob. 49.9% | Price 2.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| St. Patrick's Athletic – Shamrock Rovers St. Patrick's Athletic to win | Model prob. 50.5% | Price 2.15 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.15u |
| St. Patrick's Athletic – Shamrock Rovers St. Patrick's Athletic 2+ goals | Model prob. 53.7% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.00u |
| Galway United – Bohemian FC Galway United to win | Model prob. 27.8% | Price 3.90 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Galway United – Bohemian FC Galway United to score | Model prob. 76.8% | Price 1.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.40u |
| Galway United – Bohemian FC Galway United 2+ goals | Model prob. 40.0% | Price 3.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.00u |
| Waterford FC – Dundalk FC Waterford FC to score | Model prob. 87.9% | Price 1.20 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.20u |
| Waterford FC – Dundalk FC Waterford FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 60.1% | Price 1.91 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Waterford FC – Dundalk FC Dundalk FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 55.7% | Price 2.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Shamrock Rovers – Shelbourne Shelbourne to win | Model prob. 25.6% | Price 4.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Drogheda United – Dundalk FC Drogheda United to score | Model prob. 78.8% | Price 1.33 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.33u |
| Drogheda United – Dundalk FC Drogheda United 2+ goals | Model prob. 43.2% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.63u |
| Bohemian FC – Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers to score | Model prob. 64.1% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Bohemian FC – Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2+ goals | Model prob. 24.0% | Price 5.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| St. Patrick's Athletic – Waterford FC Waterford FC to score | Model prob. 68.1% | Price 1.73 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.73u |
| St. Patrick's Athletic – Waterford FC Waterford FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 28.5% | Price 4.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +3.50u |
| Sligo Rovers – Waterford FC Sligo Rovers to score | Model prob. 84.2% | Price 1.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Sligo Rovers – Waterford FC Sligo Rovers 2+ goals | Model prob. 52.5% | Price 2.20 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Drogheda United – St. Patrick's Athletic Drogheda United to win | Model prob. 24.9% | Price 5.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Drogheda United – St. Patrick's Athletic Drogheda United to score | Model prob. 70.5% | Price 1.62 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Drogheda United – St. Patrick's Athletic Drogheda United 2+ goals | Model prob. 31.6% | Price 4.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Dundalk FC – Galway United Galway United to score | Model prob. 75.7% | Price 1.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.40u |
| Dundalk FC – Galway United Dundalk FC 2+ goals | Model prob. 66.5% | Price 1.67 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Dundalk FC – Galway United Galway United 2+ goals | Model prob. 38.5% | Price 3.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +2.00u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →